Recently from investors looking for projects and see some of the needs of the project depends, I think VC money in 2008 will be cast in the following industries more:
1, Internet business applications class website.
, Including industry- B2B website, C2C website, a special B2C websites, B2B is the main concern is that the listing of Comrade Ali led the rise of this site, especially the Internet, commercial applications, the application of trade and industry, will be the bright spot the highlights. and C2C's up, thanks to blog and web2.0 technology allows the majority of users are self-conscious, and Taobao this site so that everyone has the awareness of online business, so all kinds of C2C website resurgence to become the inevitable trend of the. and B2C, tell the truth, for companies to rely on traditional industries under the existing line of business network transformation and I am very optimistic, but for most people to do IT do B2C businesses, I do not favored, such as red children to the site, as well as PPG, although very hot, but I am not optimistic, because once the industry's traditional giants wake up, they gone. However, recently sold a diamond company will get the money, if that is true, then it will be the third company to sell diamonds, get the money, it also shows that there are high value-added and high profit B2C market still has its big.
2 , financial services website.
financial services, such as 18.com.cn this site, I heard a month by selling financial management software and advertising stocks, tens of millions of profit each month, the first one when I scared the jump, but to really be carefully considered the case, a stock market in China in 2007 was turning point, like a large environment itself, coupled with higher overall revenue in this industry, so they raised like a VC or private equity get more money, and financial services websites in 08 years Manniu the city, it can certainly come from, VC they are smart, they will certainly pay more attention, more optimistic.
3, mobile terminal software and games site.
value-added services and WAP mobile phone industry, is to drag miserable SP industry, which is known to the old story. But now, in 2008, our mobile phone WAP site or mobile applications and games for KJAVA / BREW terminals have to keep their eyes open, was impressively .08 Olympics, China will open as promised 3G, either from or from the business concept, China's mobile application market will be more and bigger changes, and the other perspective, WAP mobile game site operators Ye Hao Ye Hao, in the market after almost three years after the winter, Quweicunzhen, all have survived the type of good quality companies, and so has to wait until this day. This is should be optimistic about the reasons.
4, industry consolidation, said the class Web site up to Dianxuan
this, the dwellers may have to ask: What kind of industry consolidation site? In fact, I want to say is, the second portal on behalf of the industry, we all know that the first generation of industry portals is the essence of industry information integration, and second-generation industry is characterized by the integration of resources, information flow from the flow of logistics to business and then cash flow, industry, electronics business platform, this site is not the media industry, but industry e-commerce platform.
the above four categories, ranging, about the accuracy of investment data today, starting a speech.
(above article first appeared in business home
Thursday, March 3, 2011
Tuesday, March 1, 2011
Cry cry evil tour of Hong Kong
Hong Kong The disclosure by the society, has publicly come to apologize to the visitors and social and emotional to tears several times. In this scene on TV, I can not help the tears fall.
for Hong Kong cry cry, Why?
Li Qiaozhen is an ordinary Hong Kong tour guides, travel agents appointed by the Meet the group, and this tour fare per passenger is only 610 million. According to introduce the Hong Kong side, two to three days of receiving the minimum to 500-800 yuan to ensure cost, plus the cost of group not more than one thousand yuan is no way to go to Hong Kong. In other words, the price of this tour must be a low transmission of the disease in the inside. The main responsibility should be the mainland and Hong Kong travel agencies and relevant authorities. Why tour? Why nobody?, of course, tourists also have the responsibility. I once met a mall in the country to sell me goods, the benefits can send me free things Tour . I do not believe that such common sense a link, or even an intermediate link in it. However, she stood up, she apologized, she endured all the accusations. On the contrary, in this case, we do not see the second person to apologize, have not seen tourists for their the behavior of some reflection, they said lighter is obedience, not rational, that is heavy to get petty, in violation of common sense.
When all the responsibility of the apology and made people dumb, Li Qiaozhen out an apology and tears, you said that people should not have to cry?
Li Qiaozhen is a guide for the industry in general women. She said he was in a huff just say some abusive words, and now she wanted to apologize to each of the group, in the future hope to continue to engage in guided tours to the attitude of sincere hospitality Mainland visitors. She describes this caused her a great blow, and even mental breakdown. I have not ever thought of such a lens at a hh to make a living in this Starting from the system. Li Qiaozhen such events, tours and tour guides in our continent which have occurred, is not surprising. I had an experience with the tour group tourism. who will not tour much better than Li Qiaozhen, we followed the whole group in addition to swallow her away in addition, no other way. A friend of mine told me her story, a male version of Liqiao Zhen Qiao Shi, No matter what tricks, guides into a shopping guide, even if the guide is shoddy misinterpreted some, a lot of friends around me this feeling. However, I never heard of, but have not seen one of our guides offer an apology , not to mention the apology on television, not to mention crying out!
From this point, we cry for the Li Qiaozhen cry, we cry is the virtue of Li Qiaozhen apology, repentance of the heart and conviction of the state; we crying is a lot of people off do not apologize, never regret, much less admit the state, not just with this, but also peace of mind, glamorous live very good.
Lu Xun has a novel called that is living at the bottom of the rickshaw saw an old woman fell down, the driver has nothing to do with, and the driver was helped down the old woman, accused of ignoring me, will find the old woman Chanqi Patrol. looking at the back of the driver away , and even squeeze Pipao As for the small to the following hiding. also squeeze the many people associated with this matter, but also has nothing to do with the matter, but obviously made a mistake who refused to apologize for the small to!
for Hong Kong cry cry, Why?
Li Qiaozhen is an ordinary Hong Kong tour guides, travel agents appointed by the Meet the group, and this tour fare per passenger is only 610 million. According to introduce the Hong Kong side, two to three days of receiving the minimum to 500-800 yuan to ensure cost, plus the cost of group not more than one thousand yuan is no way to go to Hong Kong. In other words, the price of this tour must be a low transmission of the disease in the inside. The main responsibility should be the mainland and Hong Kong travel agencies and relevant authorities. Why tour? Why nobody?, of course, tourists also have the responsibility. I once met a mall in the country to sell me goods, the benefits can send me free things Tour . I do not believe that such common sense a link, or even an intermediate link in it. However, she stood up, she apologized, she endured all the accusations. On the contrary, in this case, we do not see the second person to apologize, have not seen tourists for their the behavior of some reflection, they said lighter is obedience, not rational, that is heavy to get petty, in violation of common sense.
When all the responsibility of the apology and made people dumb, Li Qiaozhen out an apology and tears, you said that people should not have to cry?
Li Qiaozhen is a guide for the industry in general women. She said he was in a huff just say some abusive words, and now she wanted to apologize to each of the group, in the future hope to continue to engage in guided tours to the attitude of sincere hospitality Mainland visitors. She describes this caused her a great blow, and even mental breakdown. I have not ever thought of such a lens at a hh to make a living in this Starting from the system. Li Qiaozhen such events, tours and tour guides in our continent which have occurred, is not surprising. I had an experience with the tour group tourism. who will not tour much better than Li Qiaozhen, we followed the whole group in addition to swallow her away in addition, no other way. A friend of mine told me her story, a male version of Liqiao Zhen Qiao Shi, No matter what tricks, guides into a shopping guide, even if the guide is shoddy misinterpreted some, a lot of friends around me this feeling. However, I never heard of, but have not seen one of our guides offer an apology , not to mention the apology on television, not to mention crying out!
From this point, we cry for the Li Qiaozhen cry, we cry is the virtue of Li Qiaozhen apology, repentance of the heart and conviction of the state; we crying is a lot of people off do not apologize, never regret, much less admit the state, not just with this, but also peace of mind, glamorous live very good.
Lu Xun has a novel called that is living at the bottom of the rickshaw saw an old woman fell down, the driver has nothing to do with, and the driver was helped down the old woman, accused of ignoring me, will find the old woman Chanqi Patrol. looking at the back of the driver away , and even squeeze Pipao As for the small to the following hiding. also squeeze the many people associated with this matter, but also has nothing to do with the matter, but obviously made a mistake who refused to apologize for the small to!
Monday, February 28, 2011
Why did not Obama talking about Shanghai Disneyland
Why did not Obama talking about Shanghai Disneyland?
Mm Sima Nan replied to Obama's visit to China AC web journalist asked
the twenty-first Time: November 19, 2009 Thursday
Location: Sima Nan study
Q: Mr. Sima, you have published on the Shanghai Disney project is inconsistent with the views of interested parties Shanghai, this article online your great response, we have also reproduced, this time to Obama , previously rumored to be on the Disney Obama on this matter thanked the Chinese side, but no mention of Obama's trip this matter, whether you think the result of your article about?
Sima Nan: First of all, I do not think my article would be so much influence.
Second, building on Shanghai Disney is indeed insufficient reason, my article was published, did not see sufficient amount of rebuttal, I saw a few individuals shouting slogans against Sima Nan.
Third, you know, the image of Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck are changing the process, a changing image of the brand has expired, shifted to China, the look take 43% of the dry stock, and net investment in China to more than 250 million real money, this is obviously an unfair deal. Shanghai people on this project, did not show the spirit of this commercial city of China's most the smart and mature.
Fourth, I do not think Obama's trip in China, Disney is worth to discuss his project, I view Chaaobama personal style, he is better at rhetoric.
mmmmmmmmmm < br> Q: Barack Obama in Shanghai, the dialogue with youth, you saw not, what is your impression?
Sima Nan: I first put these young people are curious about the issue, raised questions like these young people was polished the edges and corners of the government spokesman's question, what is the young people, it was said he was logical, fair and reasonable, the more I find him outright it. including the previous president, including Barack Obama, are in round after round through the trials show the selection process eloquence grew up in the Asked by exactly what the young people in Shanghai, but the U.S. ambassador to China.
trip to Shanghai I do not think Obama is a random encounter young people who, so to what extent they have representation, I can not be evaluated . However, it is certain that, if the young people to your website questions to Obama, the problem will certainly not be a muffled cry a little sheep, too mild, too etiquette, and no fresh see young people and your spirit.
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Q: How do you understand the reinsurance mechanisms to ensure that there is a system arrangement mm insurance company collapsed, as long as you participate in a Klee left the in substance. From this perspective, Americans seem more adept at playing with words slogans.
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Q: How do you see the face of > Sima Nan: When is the common challenges facing partner, if not the face of common challenges is not a partner, seems to be expedient. a bit like people talking about the time are partners, do not need when it is not a partner?, such a reference might indicate, the U.S. government plates, China is still a pawn. This slogan is not so much a new level of strategic mutual trust , as it is not up strategic mutual trust and tricks of Health issued an article about kinds of play on the extent to eat for such a drink for the role of blood transfusion. In this particular context, emphasized that we were drowning, , Lee do to make the cross, Lee San San and delivery, non-establishment of the things.
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Q: Obama said the issue of universal value, this problem last year since the earthquake, you are starting a newspaper article criticized the sale of two of the South ignited a theoretical circles a big discussion on this issue, the domestic uproar on this issue a lot of discussion when the sound further and further away, Obama repeat universal values, and you have any comments?
Sima Nan: This is not a theory , Obama is not talking about theoretical issues. If the abstract, should be equal between men and women, the elderly should be taken care of, the child should have a warm environment for the growth, and there should be love between the hh if you said this is the general World values, well, then not only will not oppose Sima Nan, the world I am afraid no one will object.
However, if Mr. Obama's hidden support for the Dalai Lama, hidden forces of the support Rebiya East Turkistan separatists, *** hidden power of the support of the cult, but lurk on those aimed at undermining the stability of China's reunification cause of the various forces of evil forces support, that the In this We also want to the mm two words hide and seek democracy, if democracy means that a single American model of democracy, while China's democratic form of democratic practice in China been excluded, and to force out the American model of democracy to the world, This democracy is also doubtful.
you ask me, Mr. Obama speak on the universal values of how to see, first we emphasize that this is not a theoretical issue but a matter of practice. Second, we must not only Look what a person says is more important is to see what he did. Third, the following statement in any language, according to Joe Tang Siji saying the United States, there is a cultural structure, more than six thousand, repeatedly stressed the strategic mutual trust, on this point you satisfied?
Sima Nan: I am satisfied or not is not the problem. understood the importance of the Joint Declaration, there is chance to talk about tomorrow, but I think today say is that I see Mr. Obama dazzling eloquent language skills, he called his meeting with the *** very high level, but he differentiated, evasive, he thought of every word should not Tukou.
his article on to say, I am afraid he has said to his domestic political opponents to hear. The Chinese people are most concerned about the practical problems not seen concrete progress. For example, arms sales to Taiwan, Obama did not promise to give up arms sales to Taiwan, although He repeated the abstract important issue, Obama came to China in the prior three or four times in a row occurred in the name of anti-dumping sanctions against China, the bad event, Obama Maxin Guan office, US-China Business Council for sanctions handed to the Chinese report is clearly yes yes determined after careful consideration signature, decided to take China's surgery, this time in China, as if it never happened, he did not talk about Yi Gai, just abstract talk about series of moves to undermine China's interests, the implementation of trade protectionism in the extreme other hand, they shouted against the trade protectionism, which is Obama.
before Obama came to China, people want Obama this time to represent the United States recognition of market economy status of China is the country, because China's accession to the big do not stay even to mention what it says is a bear bear the responsibility, to comply with the rules of good students, but there is no such statement in the Joint Declaration, several Obama speech there is no such statement, Obama disdains the old man on this issue to talk about a word.
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Q: Dalai Lama, Barack Obama talked about.
Sima Nan: Yes, he spoke about , but the Dalai separatist forces, he was put on an arbitrator to talk about posture, this posture condescending, not to equal status with each other negotiators to talk about. He talked down to, welcomed the Chinese Government and reached Dalai Lama to restart talks. is not never spoken Well, there is no consensus on the place, you have nothing to fear depends very thing the Dalai Lama, who is called to have nothing to fear in the end, where do understand this thing.
Q: Barack Obama's trip, So far, you think the most surprising things that make you feel what?
Sima Nan: The most thing I am surprised there are two, one in Japan, a place in China.
what happened in Japan is the time to see the emperor, bowing point, Mr. Obama, speaking from the photo, it is ridiculous. I believe that this may not be pre-designed, a friend commented that Obama was a hot heart, then bent back to down. childhood affected by the Islamic faith, Mr. Obama, in terms of psychological characteristics of an individual, for the authority with a mysterious, mind a hot, big bow some point, it seems understandable. the United States, Obama's bow angle, has been a lot of media criticism, I have no criticism, just amazed it.
second amazes me the things that are in the Bama actually committed in four years to send one hundred thousand American students studying in China. a figure which makes me wonder, 20 years ago, I Gaojiao Chu Department of Education in the PRC Ministry of Commerce is responsible for sending students abroad was embarrassment, is your age now difficult to understand, then, the biggest problem is to send students who choose not to.
had little discussion on the exchange of students, sent a such a massive U.S. commitment to international students team, beyond our psychological expectations.
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Q: On the issue of human rights, do you think Obama is spared this time the article? or whether to meet China's face?
Sima Nan : Obama is not doing human rights to us, and Obama did the human rights of the article is mainly to see the U.S. domestic public opinion. In this issue, Obama Ma Congming to feint shot, not to talk about, he to the domestic explanation is that the problem the next Human Rights in China-US dialogue to resolve, that he put the ball to the next stop, there is no direct shot at this time. Obama's choice is wise. < br> mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Q: Obama said before the talks with Chinese leaders hope that a ?
Sima Nan: the political power game, the national interests of the duel, serious negotiations between the two of them, say leaders of the words, on this place is funny.
Q: This is precisely the phrase, Mr. Obama himself said, do you think is funny?
Sima Nan: Obama said even more funny, and I not because he spoke so, I would come to his conclusion that people are very simple, some female viewers like the expressions of such vain forty-six it, I do not know. U.S. President to say, does not depend on his What I like, mainly depends on the fact that what is not, and often depends on the Office of the President governs based on the psychological expert team under the survey results, these results requires temporary president talk about, the President will be talking about. This is a poll of political, subordinate to Western-style democracy. Chinese performances of Western politicians, we must learn to adapt their bandy words, if Che Gulu, Frisbee, then it sincerely to adapt to their insincere expression.
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Q: About four hundred Chinese and foreign reporters waited at the Great Hall, waiting for *** and Obama attended the press conference, the two sides scheduled to forty minutes at the small-scale talks eighty minutes, and caused all kinds of speculation outside, how do you look at this thing?
Sima Nan: This is the norm, ah, then Obama can speak, the mouth of a whirring to speak for twenty minutes, *** on behalf of China's national interests, there are many, many issues need to and Obama Mr communication, more than forty minutes, which is no surprise.
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Q: In the climate change issue, Obama talked a lot about and stressed the two countries work together responsibly in the world to this channel Question do you think he has a point about you?
Sima Nan: This question is important, the United States concerns, the Chinese concern, all countries are concerned. But Obama's speech, in the An important issue of principle, always to avoid, or at least wander off, which makes the question should have been unable to agree on a consensus.
countries and least developed countries Therefore, to weight loss, and we are thin just caught the food, eat a few days the fish-flavored pork kung pao chicken, you want us to avoid certain food, do not eat meat, eggs sugar, it is illogical ah.
more important issue is now the natural formation of Sino-US trade division, all aspects of commodity production in China. Therefore, the carbon emissions, the surface appears to be growing rapidly in China, but Americans earn much money as you go, the interests of the Americans enjoy. the production of a Barbie doll, sold $ 120 in the United States, the Americans took 100 dollars, two dollars of Chinese workers in the hard-earned money only to get hh production process in China, such an irrational division of labor, based on the irrational international division of labor, based on the rule-making is unreasonable, you have to like China and the U.S. held responsible, how can?
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Q: Recently, include, including U.S. Commerce Secretary Gary Locke, U.S. officials have talk RMB appreciation, Obama has stressed the demand, you see how this issue?
Sima Nan: from now on the actual reduction of Chinese exports, continued to decrease in the situation, an appropriate appreciation of the RMB is not without economists hold this view, but does not appreciate the appreciation, it should be based on conditions in China Chinese government to decide on these issues, Americans like to force others, force others, this attitude we do not like you first. The dollar has been devalued, the purpose is to continuously increase the dollar competitiveness on the world market, why do not you appreciate it? so good thing is why do the Chinese took it? year in the United States under the weight of the yen, appreciation, and can be complications to this day has not been eliminated. previous World Forum Book Fair, I bought a Shintaro Ishihara's issues, the Americans entrap, shocking facts of history, a lesson, the former Mirror ah car.
Obama said toward free convertibility of RMB in the direction of the momentum that they satisfied the Americans this kinds of praise we must guard the heart. We want to look stupid in the Wall Street avalanche, the most serious financial crisis, if not for the implementation of the RMB is not freely convertible, the market level is not high, the Chinese do not know how much suffering but also loss. In the course of Dances with Wolves, did not achieve free convertibility of the RMB, which is a lucky hit the road to self-protection. last visit to Xinjiang, Xinjiang, people told me that hydrocarbon ammonia, hh you chew the Mainland market in RMB yuan freely convertible issue, I would prefer to see China in the theory is unclear, the future is uncertain, ill-prepared, under the premise belated, it was unwilling to see China sleepwalk people fooled. Asian financial crisis, can withstand pressure not to devalue the RMB, RMB out of trouble, who would speak up through anything, no such brother, there is such a brother, would not help the busy China, China's volume too. Therefore, China does not need to fight for American recognition of the good student, the Americans did not need God to play the role of teachers.
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Q: Sino-US joint statement, the two leaders did not hide their differences , but all efforts to minimize their differences, whether this is a phenomenon worth celebrating?
Sima Nan: It certainly is a phenomenon worth celebrating, that the United States President Barack Obama on China in Asia, there is realistic to consider He understands the power of China had to face, face the demands of the fundamental interests of the Chinese people. I most admire President *** repeatedly stressed that China's core interests of the Americans not touch the bottom line.
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Q: on the outside that Obama trip to China is too subservient to China, succumb to the will of the Chinese. how do you see such comments?
Sima Nan: Some media, one of the words ear. This one of the words, the establishment during the Cold War stay condescending toward China on the basis of habit.
do find out, the United States now needs China, not only the Chinese people need the United States, not a unilateral American patronizing in China. If not for the blood of China to the United States The United States is difficult to maintain today's situation. When a request for assistance in someone else's and his object of equal dialogue just have a posture that little time, someone came out to make irresponsible remarks, and ridiculously funny? need to reflect on is that three of the people in, they should get rid of their Cold War mentality, remove the historical sense of superiority.
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Q: Barack Obama for an hour tour of the Forbidden City, said he did not wear suits, put on sweater and brown jacket, hands in his pockets. Some say it is Obama's most relaxing time in China, such tidbits you interested? how Obama traveled to see the Forbidden City?
Sima Nan: sneak in, ah, to a new place, people like to find a place where the most valuable tourism, tourists and the general mentality of Obama is no different. brilliant Chinese palace, several hundred years of civilization, and an hour of endless shopping, Obama is clearly conscious to this point. Therefore, he said, with the first lady to come.
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Q: Barack Obama came to China, what in your opinion you compare the details of the accident?
Sima Nan: the details of one Shanghai Party Secretary Yu met with Obama, but did not come off. details of the two, the Forbidden City visit, the leadership of the National Palace, accompanied only, no other Chinese leaders. how many do not quite understand.
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Q: compared President George W. Bush, compared with President Bush, Barack Obama profile trip to China is the lowest place, many people have such comments, whether you agree with that?
Sima Nan: One said, on the scene, then in terms of fine words, and perhaps can be understood. But look at the issue mature man, who never say anything just look at the expression of the Chinese people believe in not always been the lack of vigilance. Chinese people's great leader Chairman Mao and his two daughters to take the name of a named Li Min, Li Na of a name, which is taken from Confucius, ; mean, that we pay more attention to action.
President George W. Bush when he took office, talked wildly of China is very cold, but in his two terms expire, he became the most friendly to China a president. President Clinton in office have said many good things about the Sino-US relations, that is the vernacular of a large egg, but it is in his office, the U.S. missiles hit the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia.
U.S. political with our understanding of the Chinese people usually have very different politics.
If we remember correctly, in 1992, is to so few votes, President Bush actually challenge the fundamental interests of the Chinese people, in one breath to Taiwan sell 150 F16 fighter jets. So, you only see this person and shake hands, hug, say something nice, then accordingly premature to conclude that this person is good. we should analysis of his the fate of the actual decision to the U.S. capitalist group.
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Q: Barack Obama came to China before the Chinese leaders on what Obama will give gifts, parties have speculated, however, no one thought Austria *** Bama gave the gift turned out to be a Chinese chess, you think this is symbolic?
Sima Nan: In the Sino-US diplomatic a platter of them, the media eager to capture these details to enrich the report This is understandable, however, rigidly to make interpretation of these details is often ridiculous.
Obama apparently also spent a mind: First, Go originated in China; second, Go navigate the world; Third, the Go game on both sides are equal, open and transparent. The three leave the negotiating table, both sides will agree about. Obama gifts, of course, would like people happy, the understanding of the three far-fetched, even for is my interpretation of this matter right.
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Q: Do you think Obama can serve as role models for learning? Or do you think among young people in China, Obama to be as fun as star triggered the curiosity and interest of young people in particular do?
Sima Nan: In a previous article I talked about the South China Sea and discuss some philosophical questions of Mao Zedong, China-US relations is a fundamental change, this change shook the world. and Obama came here to how, not how, its upper limit, subject to the factors , it is a look glance, people have expectations, but not unexpected.
Obama is not the dark horse, Obama is not Michael Jackson, not the superstar. He came to China, the Chinese youth (at least I have contacted 80 , 90 after, including 70 after the bar), I did not hear the young man, in this issue, how much excitement there, I also visit the following web sites about ;, read a few pages of a message, found that Chinese young people quite rational.
your AC site The New York Times . In this answer, the performance of the 80, 90 young people, related to the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation on major issues and mature thinking.
Obama is the U.S. leader, not a world leader. Obama come to the core interests of the United States, people are concerned about him because he is a political figure, not a moral model of politicians, there is no Michael Jackson's talent. Therefore, more of a young man; rational concern and thought, does not appear in Western media predicted some kind of crazy star effect.
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Q: Barack Obama in particular detail about the common interests of both countries, he said, must be at the expense of another country, response, whether this is?
Sima Nan: If I were in Obama's speech for all to pick out an affirmative, I would choose this sentence, this sentence is indeed more important, it reflects American politics Home of China's rise is not checked, no alternative, had to accept such a fact.
However, this knowledge down to the actual implementation, there should be support for action.
example, forces and the Dalai Lama to stop *** Lama's support for the separatist forces, for example, to stop supporting forces on the East Turkistan separatists, for example, do not send some aircraft, submarines are constantly to the door to countries in the implementation of the investigation, for example, do not sell their products in China, the issue of setting too many De limit hh no use ah just empty talk.
notes, the Chinese trade surplus the United States is reluctant to build high-tech products in the United States sold to China based on the premise, especially as the aerospace, automotive, computer , CNC machine tools, etc., not to mention weapons. If Obama is really aware of necessary to set so many limitations. If it does not set so many trade restrictions with China, the Chinese have the opportunity to import U.S. high-tech products, China's trade surplus will soon be able to reverse the situation, but Americans do not want to thing. Abstract sure the specific denial does not help, up to down a really fundamental change will, however, do not say that a better than good. on Obama, we should also be recognition of the main.
easy to talk about things and good things difficult. Americans are keen on dumping them to China agricultural products, and their dumping of agricultural products, the first is a substantial government subsidies. Second, GM (sold to the European Union to subject). Third, they put pressure on China, and wished he could cut agricultural products will make China's own death must (for example, wipe out the mountains and plains of Heilongjiang soybean).
Q: Do you think there is between the two countries cooperation, we need to assume more responsibility for it in China?
Sima Nan: the first two ask, of course. Today's world has come to the one you have me, I have you, a loss for both sides, a prosperity era. Thus, *** the President stressed that common interests, emphasis on mm is to take the burden of pressure to your body, people take a big, can not be willing to eat Yaba Kui. in greenhouse gas emissions, climate change issues, we assume the same responsibilities with the United States does not make sense. (November 19, 2009 Thursday)
Mm Sima Nan replied to Obama's visit to China AC web journalist asked
the twenty-first Time: November 19, 2009 Thursday
Location: Sima Nan study
Q: Mr. Sima, you have published on the Shanghai Disney project is inconsistent with the views of interested parties Shanghai, this article online your great response, we have also reproduced, this time to Obama , previously rumored to be on the Disney Obama on this matter thanked the Chinese side, but no mention of Obama's trip this matter, whether you think the result of your article about?
Sima Nan: First of all, I do not think my article would be so much influence.
Second, building on Shanghai Disney is indeed insufficient reason, my article was published, did not see sufficient amount of rebuttal, I saw a few individuals shouting slogans against Sima Nan.
Third, you know, the image of Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck are changing the process, a changing image of the brand has expired, shifted to China, the look take 43% of the dry stock, and net investment in China to more than 250 million real money, this is obviously an unfair deal. Shanghai people on this project, did not show the spirit of this commercial city of China's most the smart and mature.
Fourth, I do not think Obama's trip in China, Disney is worth to discuss his project, I view Chaaobama personal style, he is better at rhetoric.
mmmmmmmmmm < br> Q: Barack Obama in Shanghai, the dialogue with youth, you saw not, what is your impression?
Sima Nan: I first put these young people are curious about the issue, raised questions like these young people was polished the edges and corners of the government spokesman's question, what is the young people, it was said he was logical, fair and reasonable, the more I find him outright it. including the previous president, including Barack Obama, are in round after round through the trials show the selection process eloquence grew up in the Asked by exactly what the young people in Shanghai, but the U.S. ambassador to China.
trip to Shanghai I do not think Obama is a random encounter young people who, so to what extent they have representation, I can not be evaluated . However, it is certain that, if the young people to your website questions to Obama, the problem will certainly not be a muffled cry a little sheep, too mild, too etiquette, and no fresh see young people and your spirit.
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Q: How do you understand the reinsurance mechanisms to ensure that there is a system arrangement mm insurance company collapsed, as long as you participate in a Klee left the in substance. From this perspective, Americans seem more adept at playing with words slogans.
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Q: How do you see the face of > Sima Nan: When is the common challenges facing partner, if not the face of common challenges is not a partner, seems to be expedient. a bit like people talking about the time are partners, do not need when it is not a partner?, such a reference might indicate, the U.S. government plates, China is still a pawn. This slogan is not so much a new level of strategic mutual trust , as it is not up strategic mutual trust and tricks of Health issued an article about kinds of play on the extent to eat for such a drink for the role of blood transfusion. In this particular context, emphasized that we were drowning, , Lee do to make the cross, Lee San San and delivery, non-establishment of the things.
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Q: Obama said the issue of universal value, this problem last year since the earthquake, you are starting a newspaper article criticized the sale of two of the South ignited a theoretical circles a big discussion on this issue, the domestic uproar on this issue a lot of discussion when the sound further and further away, Obama repeat universal values, and you have any comments?
Sima Nan: This is not a theory , Obama is not talking about theoretical issues. If the abstract, should be equal between men and women, the elderly should be taken care of, the child should have a warm environment for the growth, and there should be love between the hh if you said this is the general World values, well, then not only will not oppose Sima Nan, the world I am afraid no one will object.
However, if Mr. Obama's hidden support for the Dalai Lama, hidden forces of the support Rebiya East Turkistan separatists, *** hidden power of the support of the cult, but lurk on those aimed at undermining the stability of China's reunification cause of the various forces of evil forces support, that the In this We also want to the mm two words hide and seek democracy, if democracy means that a single American model of democracy, while China's democratic form of democratic practice in China been excluded, and to force out the American model of democracy to the world, This democracy is also doubtful.
you ask me, Mr. Obama speak on the universal values of how to see, first we emphasize that this is not a theoretical issue but a matter of practice. Second, we must not only Look what a person says is more important is to see what he did. Third, the following statement in any language, according to Joe Tang Siji saying the United States, there is a cultural structure, more than six thousand, repeatedly stressed the strategic mutual trust, on this point you satisfied?
Sima Nan: I am satisfied or not is not the problem. understood the importance of the Joint Declaration, there is chance to talk about tomorrow, but I think today say is that I see Mr. Obama dazzling eloquent language skills, he called his meeting with the *** very high level, but he differentiated, evasive, he thought of every word should not Tukou.
his article on to say, I am afraid he has said to his domestic political opponents to hear. The Chinese people are most concerned about the practical problems not seen concrete progress. For example, arms sales to Taiwan, Obama did not promise to give up arms sales to Taiwan, although He repeated the abstract important issue, Obama came to China in the prior three or four times in a row occurred in the name of anti-dumping sanctions against China, the bad event, Obama Maxin Guan office, US-China Business Council for sanctions handed to the Chinese report is clearly yes yes determined after careful consideration signature, decided to take China's surgery, this time in China, as if it never happened, he did not talk about Yi Gai, just abstract talk about series of moves to undermine China's interests, the implementation of trade protectionism in the extreme other hand, they shouted against the trade protectionism, which is Obama.
before Obama came to China, people want Obama this time to represent the United States recognition of market economy status of China is the country, because China's accession to the big do not stay even to mention what it says is a bear bear the responsibility, to comply with the rules of good students, but there is no such statement in the Joint Declaration, several Obama speech there is no such statement, Obama disdains the old man on this issue to talk about a word.
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Q: Dalai Lama, Barack Obama talked about.
Sima Nan: Yes, he spoke about , but the Dalai separatist forces, he was put on an arbitrator to talk about posture, this posture condescending, not to equal status with each other negotiators to talk about. He talked down to, welcomed the Chinese Government and reached Dalai Lama to restart talks. is not never spoken Well, there is no consensus on the place, you have nothing to fear depends very thing the Dalai Lama, who is called to have nothing to fear in the end, where do understand this thing.
Q: Barack Obama's trip, So far, you think the most surprising things that make you feel what?
Sima Nan: The most thing I am surprised there are two, one in Japan, a place in China.
what happened in Japan is the time to see the emperor, bowing point, Mr. Obama, speaking from the photo, it is ridiculous. I believe that this may not be pre-designed, a friend commented that Obama was a hot heart, then bent back to down. childhood affected by the Islamic faith, Mr. Obama, in terms of psychological characteristics of an individual, for the authority with a mysterious, mind a hot, big bow some point, it seems understandable. the United States, Obama's bow angle, has been a lot of media criticism, I have no criticism, just amazed it.
second amazes me the things that are in the Bama actually committed in four years to send one hundred thousand American students studying in China. a figure which makes me wonder, 20 years ago, I Gaojiao Chu Department of Education in the PRC Ministry of Commerce is responsible for sending students abroad was embarrassment, is your age now difficult to understand, then, the biggest problem is to send students who choose not to.
had little discussion on the exchange of students, sent a such a massive U.S. commitment to international students team, beyond our psychological expectations.
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Q: On the issue of human rights, do you think Obama is spared this time the article? or whether to meet China's face?
Sima Nan : Obama is not doing human rights to us, and Obama did the human rights of the article is mainly to see the U.S. domestic public opinion. In this issue, Obama Ma Congming to feint shot, not to talk about, he to the domestic explanation is that the problem the next Human Rights in China-US dialogue to resolve, that he put the ball to the next stop, there is no direct shot at this time. Obama's choice is wise. < br> mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Q: Obama said before the talks with Chinese leaders hope that a ?
Sima Nan: the political power game, the national interests of the duel, serious negotiations between the two of them, say leaders of the words, on this place is funny.
Q: This is precisely the phrase, Mr. Obama himself said, do you think is funny?
Sima Nan: Obama said even more funny, and I not because he spoke so, I would come to his conclusion that people are very simple, some female viewers like the expressions of such vain forty-six it, I do not know. U.S. President to say, does not depend on his What I like, mainly depends on the fact that what is not, and often depends on the Office of the President governs based on the psychological expert team under the survey results, these results requires temporary president talk about, the President will be talking about. This is a poll of political, subordinate to Western-style democracy. Chinese performances of Western politicians, we must learn to adapt their bandy words, if Che Gulu, Frisbee, then it sincerely to adapt to their insincere expression.
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Q: About four hundred Chinese and foreign reporters waited at the Great Hall, waiting for *** and Obama attended the press conference, the two sides scheduled to forty minutes at the small-scale talks eighty minutes, and caused all kinds of speculation outside, how do you look at this thing?
Sima Nan: This is the norm, ah, then Obama can speak, the mouth of a whirring to speak for twenty minutes, *** on behalf of China's national interests, there are many, many issues need to and Obama Mr communication, more than forty minutes, which is no surprise.
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Q: In the climate change issue, Obama talked a lot about and stressed the two countries work together responsibly in the world to this channel Question do you think he has a point about you?
Sima Nan: This question is important, the United States concerns, the Chinese concern, all countries are concerned. But Obama's speech, in the An important issue of principle, always to avoid, or at least wander off, which makes the question should have been unable to agree on a consensus.
countries and least developed countries Therefore, to weight loss, and we are thin just caught the food, eat a few days the fish-flavored pork kung pao chicken, you want us to avoid certain food, do not eat meat, eggs sugar, it is illogical ah.
more important issue is now the natural formation of Sino-US trade division, all aspects of commodity production in China. Therefore, the carbon emissions, the surface appears to be growing rapidly in China, but Americans earn much money as you go, the interests of the Americans enjoy. the production of a Barbie doll, sold $ 120 in the United States, the Americans took 100 dollars, two dollars of Chinese workers in the hard-earned money only to get hh production process in China, such an irrational division of labor, based on the irrational international division of labor, based on the rule-making is unreasonable, you have to like China and the U.S. held responsible, how can?
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Q: Recently, include, including U.S. Commerce Secretary Gary Locke, U.S. officials have talk RMB appreciation, Obama has stressed the demand, you see how this issue?
Sima Nan: from now on the actual reduction of Chinese exports, continued to decrease in the situation, an appropriate appreciation of the RMB is not without economists hold this view, but does not appreciate the appreciation, it should be based on conditions in China Chinese government to decide on these issues, Americans like to force others, force others, this attitude we do not like you first. The dollar has been devalued, the purpose is to continuously increase the dollar competitiveness on the world market, why do not you appreciate it? so good thing is why do the Chinese took it? year in the United States under the weight of the yen, appreciation, and can be complications to this day has not been eliminated. previous World Forum Book Fair, I bought a Shintaro Ishihara's issues, the Americans entrap, shocking facts of history, a lesson, the former Mirror ah car.
Obama said toward free convertibility of RMB in the direction of the momentum that they satisfied the Americans this kinds of praise we must guard the heart. We want to look stupid in the Wall Street avalanche, the most serious financial crisis, if not for the implementation of the RMB is not freely convertible, the market level is not high, the Chinese do not know how much suffering but also loss. In the course of Dances with Wolves, did not achieve free convertibility of the RMB, which is a lucky hit the road to self-protection. last visit to Xinjiang, Xinjiang, people told me that hydrocarbon ammonia, hh you chew the Mainland market in RMB yuan freely convertible issue, I would prefer to see China in the theory is unclear, the future is uncertain, ill-prepared, under the premise belated, it was unwilling to see China sleepwalk people fooled. Asian financial crisis, can withstand pressure not to devalue the RMB, RMB out of trouble, who would speak up through anything, no such brother, there is such a brother, would not help the busy China, China's volume too. Therefore, China does not need to fight for American recognition of the good student, the Americans did not need God to play the role of teachers.
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Q: Sino-US joint statement, the two leaders did not hide their differences , but all efforts to minimize their differences, whether this is a phenomenon worth celebrating?
Sima Nan: It certainly is a phenomenon worth celebrating, that the United States President Barack Obama on China in Asia, there is realistic to consider He understands the power of China had to face, face the demands of the fundamental interests of the Chinese people. I most admire President *** repeatedly stressed that China's core interests of the Americans not touch the bottom line.
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Q: on the outside that Obama trip to China is too subservient to China, succumb to the will of the Chinese. how do you see such comments?
Sima Nan: Some media, one of the words ear. This one of the words, the establishment during the Cold War stay condescending toward China on the basis of habit.
do find out, the United States now needs China, not only the Chinese people need the United States, not a unilateral American patronizing in China. If not for the blood of China to the United States The United States is difficult to maintain today's situation. When a request for assistance in someone else's and his object of equal dialogue just have a posture that little time, someone came out to make irresponsible remarks, and ridiculously funny? need to reflect on is that three of the people in, they should get rid of their Cold War mentality, remove the historical sense of superiority.
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Q: Barack Obama for an hour tour of the Forbidden City, said he did not wear suits, put on sweater and brown jacket, hands in his pockets. Some say it is Obama's most relaxing time in China, such tidbits you interested? how Obama traveled to see the Forbidden City?
Sima Nan: sneak in, ah, to a new place, people like to find a place where the most valuable tourism, tourists and the general mentality of Obama is no different. brilliant Chinese palace, several hundred years of civilization, and an hour of endless shopping, Obama is clearly conscious to this point. Therefore, he said, with the first lady to come.
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Q: Barack Obama came to China, what in your opinion you compare the details of the accident?
Sima Nan: the details of one Shanghai Party Secretary Yu met with Obama, but did not come off. details of the two, the Forbidden City visit, the leadership of the National Palace, accompanied only, no other Chinese leaders. how many do not quite understand.
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Q: compared President George W. Bush, compared with President Bush, Barack Obama profile trip to China is the lowest place, many people have such comments, whether you agree with that?
Sima Nan: One said, on the scene, then in terms of fine words, and perhaps can be understood. But look at the issue mature man, who never say anything just look at the expression of the Chinese people believe in not always been the lack of vigilance. Chinese people's great leader Chairman Mao and his two daughters to take the name of a named Li Min, Li Na of a name, which is taken from Confucius, ; mean, that we pay more attention to action.
President George W. Bush when he took office, talked wildly of China is very cold, but in his two terms expire, he became the most friendly to China a president. President Clinton in office have said many good things about the Sino-US relations, that is the vernacular of a large egg, but it is in his office, the U.S. missiles hit the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia.
U.S. political with our understanding of the Chinese people usually have very different politics.
If we remember correctly, in 1992, is to so few votes, President Bush actually challenge the fundamental interests of the Chinese people, in one breath to Taiwan sell 150 F16 fighter jets. So, you only see this person and shake hands, hug, say something nice, then accordingly premature to conclude that this person is good. we should analysis of his the fate of the actual decision to the U.S. capitalist group.
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Q: Barack Obama came to China before the Chinese leaders on what Obama will give gifts, parties have speculated, however, no one thought Austria *** Bama gave the gift turned out to be a Chinese chess, you think this is symbolic?
Sima Nan: In the Sino-US diplomatic a platter of them, the media eager to capture these details to enrich the report This is understandable, however, rigidly to make interpretation of these details is often ridiculous.
Obama apparently also spent a mind: First, Go originated in China; second, Go navigate the world; Third, the Go game on both sides are equal, open and transparent. The three leave the negotiating table, both sides will agree about. Obama gifts, of course, would like people happy, the understanding of the three far-fetched, even for is my interpretation of this matter right.
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Q: Do you think Obama can serve as role models for learning? Or do you think among young people in China, Obama to be as fun as star triggered the curiosity and interest of young people in particular do?
Sima Nan: In a previous article I talked about the South China Sea and discuss some philosophical questions of Mao Zedong, China-US relations is a fundamental change, this change shook the world. and Obama came here to how, not how, its upper limit, subject to the factors , it is a look glance, people have expectations, but not unexpected.
Obama is not the dark horse, Obama is not Michael Jackson, not the superstar. He came to China, the Chinese youth (at least I have contacted 80 , 90 after, including 70 after the bar), I did not hear the young man, in this issue, how much excitement there, I also visit the following web sites about ;, read a few pages of a message, found that Chinese young people quite rational.
your AC site The New York Times . In this answer, the performance of the 80, 90 young people, related to the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation on major issues and mature thinking.
Obama is the U.S. leader, not a world leader. Obama come to the core interests of the United States, people are concerned about him because he is a political figure, not a moral model of politicians, there is no Michael Jackson's talent. Therefore, more of a young man; rational concern and thought, does not appear in Western media predicted some kind of crazy star effect.
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Q: Barack Obama in particular detail about the common interests of both countries, he said, must be at the expense of another country, response, whether this is?
Sima Nan: If I were in Obama's speech for all to pick out an affirmative, I would choose this sentence, this sentence is indeed more important, it reflects American politics Home of China's rise is not checked, no alternative, had to accept such a fact.
However, this knowledge down to the actual implementation, there should be support for action.
example, forces and the Dalai Lama to stop *** Lama's support for the separatist forces, for example, to stop supporting forces on the East Turkistan separatists, for example, do not send some aircraft, submarines are constantly to the door to countries in the implementation of the investigation, for example, do not sell their products in China, the issue of setting too many De limit hh no use ah just empty talk.
notes, the Chinese trade surplus the United States is reluctant to build high-tech products in the United States sold to China based on the premise, especially as the aerospace, automotive, computer , CNC machine tools, etc., not to mention weapons. If Obama is really aware of necessary to set so many limitations. If it does not set so many trade restrictions with China, the Chinese have the opportunity to import U.S. high-tech products, China's trade surplus will soon be able to reverse the situation, but Americans do not want to thing. Abstract sure the specific denial does not help, up to down a really fundamental change will, however, do not say that a better than good. on Obama, we should also be recognition of the main.
easy to talk about things and good things difficult. Americans are keen on dumping them to China agricultural products, and their dumping of agricultural products, the first is a substantial government subsidies. Second, GM (sold to the European Union to subject). Third, they put pressure on China, and wished he could cut agricultural products will make China's own death must (for example, wipe out the mountains and plains of Heilongjiang soybean).
Q: Do you think there is between the two countries cooperation, we need to assume more responsibility for it in China?
Sima Nan: the first two ask, of course. Today's world has come to the one you have me, I have you, a loss for both sides, a prosperity era. Thus, *** the President stressed that common interests, emphasis on mm is to take the burden of pressure to your body, people take a big, can not be willing to eat Yaba Kui. in greenhouse gas emissions, climate change issues, we assume the same responsibilities with the United States does not make sense. (November 19, 2009 Thursday)
Sunday, February 27, 2011
A one thousand and fifteen easy to read
The copyright of all content and a blog all along. For the convenience of reading, some letters of the words were appropriate excision, but retained key elements.
Open holes in the trees: moushun@hotmail.com. Select a letter from an open back, please do not involving personal privacy. You just write to me, I turned to conceited. Also, you have the right to send a letter to me, I have the right to deal with letters, reply not reply, when answered, will please Haihan.
open holes in the trees do not respond to more than 500 words long letter, not answer letter of advice for others. Q give up work and future of; the two children should not be the; can not be an unmarried mother; sexless marriage how to do and do not want a divorce; want a divorce could not bear children; afraid of looking after him apart even worse than he's; how to do a man derailed; man is nothing but the divorce could not make the hand; older anxious to marry but of underachievement and how to get along with long-term extramarital lover, and her husband Yu Xiao-law's strong I go from here, whether married hepatitis B patients or carriers of hepatitis B virus? @ gmail.com. words and open holes in the trees over 500 did not answer, as well as issues related to privacy inconvenience exposure, all send private tree. The tree holes received a hard charge. privacy holes in trees and also has to talk phone, such as no time to write, you can write to yushunshun@gmail.com looking for family number. In order to avoid harassment, the phone will refuse to listen to refuse to return calls to any message without an appointment. thank you.
tree holes no matter what the letter sent to , please do not use attachments. Where the open holes in the trees received a letter, will soon be copied into the document, do not read the contents of mailbox name and address, so do the letters after a few days or on any blog, and then asked me to delete a letter or check the source of a letter, I did not have no time to find the energy. sorry.
1, 34 men and 29 women, all masters, college work (not the appearance of women than for men.) understanding of current through the network are son of three and a half. poor men find that the expression of love, not romantic, women take the initiative and a good fight, during which women thought about breaking up, but considering the men and epilepsy (high school, committed, self-knowledge and awareness of medication but has not committed), not bear. dull married life, men and children love a plus, but for women only, as their loved ones, get along well. Women often feel no sense of happiness. Shun Shun, then read your blog if I will be replaced, how to do now ? married on such a tragic fate of a little boy do?
this fate if the calculation dire, China has more than 6 percent of married women like you Bitter was. was able to vote for him, he should be considered different from men : calculate the time you get married, he was up to 25 bar, 25 boys and 30 of the older girls between the deep feelings if it does not and can not get married, no happiness, just a few years of your marriage on sublimation the demand for marriage new problems emerge. premarital and married him, he should be no change, just change your mind, do you now want to do my sister sister, where he can fulfill you. take you as family is the best, because only separated from their loved ones, lovers love easily change. you order the case, acknowledge your fate. ask for it, would have recognized.
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2, he was 23, I 22 , recognizing the network, and later developments are telephone and meet. started feeling good, never quarrel, but he was careless and even rainy day and an umbrella with him, he turned around and allow you to shower in the rain. five years , and recently contradictions, cause I get angry, but I get angry less than 10 minutes pass by, do not mind so much, he will have patience with me over the past, to coax me, and now he can not, that annoying! I am usually wrong the first to apologize, but he generally dwell with me three or four days this is what we fight mode; If I'm not angry, all right, if I accidentally made a little fire, he would kill me. He is not perfect, where there are unhappy people are not satisfied, but he asked me a little fire can not be made, to be honest, I write emotional weakness is easy to face.
his home city of my countryside, his family was better than him, I never find it too However, only sometimes will complain about unsatisfactory under only. mode of love that has saved? The practice quickly as seen in April, and found that they were in January, see one, and said to break up before the alarm three times, the same problem . He said he did not love, that there woman like him better than me. I also feel tired, how do? As this is my first angry, and I apologized to him last night, but he said a lot of hurt me self-esteem, then, and said nobody wanted a woman like me! can appreciate my work to be led, popularity is not bad, he really does not love me? we can survive?
both 5 years, has been enough of a miracle, true to the time of the bulk, because you are all grown up. You are faced with the reality of the problem: and his two places, relations are not harmonious, he does not love you. whether or not to accept the reality as you, but I have to remind you: blindly give useless.
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3, 26 men and 27 women, who fell in love with 7 years, is now breaking up. love the first 3 years of college, and female staff, male graduate and 3 years This is a very good relationship 6 years. seventh year, the parents buy a house to the women (men and women are overseas), women and men and women fight to hear the parents of men are dissatisfied, but on his character and so satisfied with the work of education. female parents feel Men like to pick things, such as calling a female and male, men hear women in the eating, playing keyboard, to get angry, and said , forced women admit. Women working for the great help from the groom's family is busy, but because of misunderstanding, the Chinese New Year women did not go to the groom, his family in front of men feel suppressed, they feel that women do not care about him, and he mentioned breaking up, is breaking up 9 months. men like their women everywhere rely on him, he was the center. can women feel lost his own, if and men to continue, can not do the things you like everything to men allowed women a sense of oppression. Now men and women respectively, and the other parents have to contact the other parents love their children, a chance to look back. women are entangled, men and women work in education are allocated, that is, different values, maybe it is not the back, or this relationship is also suitable up?
different values, but a big problem, can not be underestimated, as it relates to you the same thing with different views and practices: this is the root of conflict ah. his condition with you again, are blocked You do not live the way he and the basic obstacles. if his wedding will be noisy and Biequ lifetime.
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4, female, 28 male and 25, exchanges the last two years, is remote provinces. F graduate civil servants, male undergraduate no steady job, make their own trading business, good times and bad, but self-sufficient. Women whose families are better than men. matriarch of a strong opposition. and the men and women find a common language, good feelings, and relationship has been, and my heart feel like substitutions are liable to future generations find it too. If you insist on together, only male to female city to continue to do business. male introverted, concerned men and women to the city will not meet total strangers, and being matriarch supercilious. Also, if men and women have been worried about doing business, the two unstable life, and social identity are different. women worry about the outcome, some time ago do not see the future, to mention break up, although men agreed, but both are very sad, but also gradually restored contact. primarily through the mobile phone network. breaking up the family of a blind by the number of women, always feel unworthy of men, dinner and a movie not in the mind, the blind date certain all to no avail. women entangled in his heart that it should and men together, but the reality full of difficulties, we supposed to do?
two difficulties, you do not agree with his career and do not trust himself and his future, and at home against, he younger than you, for these reasons is sufficient to prove not joking responsible. of course, love him to not let go, it took courage to challenge the world to challenge themselves, do not worry about the outcome, it would only let you trade-off.
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5, I was 80, students do not every time. If there is no high prices, if we can use 3 to 5 years income to buy a suite, life would be a lot easier. because the house, we are afraid of unemployment, not business, was forced to bite the old, not raising the next generation. not few developers hack writer in the media talking about the young life of the house the important role of happiness, I think this is the contemporary market economy in China, the biggest lies, more expensive than the heritage of the house price to give to young people of today Only pain and helplessness. a graduate of Beijing University graduate 5 years after 80, never saw their parents to Beijing and lived together, ask the reason, replied: do not want them to come, so I bought a house to say. struggle for life . the most promising potential to make China the most powerful one
generation, and now because of the high prices and reduced to the blog short people. It is no exaggeration to say that, after 80 real estate and descend into the least ambition generation.
you have great ideas, but you thought is not really of touch. For example you say . society continues to move forward, each toward the pillar and foundation of every generation, or how they are today? and 20 years ago, Beijing University students may not have power vision, 10 years ago, Beijing University students may not want to be an outbreak of households, Rengeyouzhi, the pursuit of any era have shown the complex and diverse, Beijing University students can not represent all the intellectuals. high prices is not only the North out of combat, the price issue is related to political, Caomin were only obedient, hair useless to complain, or try to make himself valuable to it. parenthesis, the value ranging from Consists value, end brackets.
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6, I got married in September, is pregnant in May. My husband is very nice to a friend Well, good for me, I love him. but he is lazy, play games late into the night, he did not go to bed I could not sleep, a bed I want to say what he said, he always said, tired, and then it fast asleep. married to this thing, and he now only had a fight, after arguing for several days and that, along with any good trick? from pregnant, her husband is little to sex with, or will it hold me to sleep at night will always touch me, every time I want, her husband said no, in fact he was not hard, is refused, preferring my hand through your mouth to help him, but he never gave my mouth, then I really fail to beat Hey out to be only a quick minute to S a (not pregnant had sex with, he also is not enthusiastic, to say too much physical injury), asked him if he is not afraid to poke away ah baby, he shook his head, and that Why did not you tell me hey? (I have more than a week before to a back three days before a return when not pregnant, not that much, right?)
pregnant, you men afraid of trouble, had sexual interest is not high , he even did not want sex with. As for him never to give you mouth, then all you used to: he will not let you cool, you can not touch him Well, why do you wait on him Dianzhe stomach? Stop complaining and be happy to own. You can search point related materials see you man, tell him now as long as the tender points, having sex will not affect the child, not sex with him a long time, or only let you for his service, but added will affect the the mental state of the child mother, children and old mother happy, the children will have a bad temper tire inner tube, tube is difficult to grow up, let him consider the consequences.
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7, 38 single women, do not want to remarry . her boyfriend of 50 home. another good, now I would like to regulation is, they can not find out his reasons, in fact, know of one, is the moral bottom line is not allowed. I decided to forget themselves in the rivers and lakes to each other, but he do not want to. Please Shun Shun Weapon, how can we make peace with his departure?
money, a lot of money, usually a man will be so scared of. If he was an exception, then talk to him to the marriage, but with the condition that all property to marry you, can not take money to leave his wife for a divorce. If he can not do to please his own side of the self-esteem go.
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8, female 37, 11-year-old woman, 46 recognize divorce by the end of August M, monthly income of 6K, a daughter to college. enthusiasm after meeting the initiative, warming quickly. considerate care of me, everything obedient. to go and a lot of text messages a few phone calls a day. but the young men serving in the army and work in the field period, due to feelings of substandard and his wife, not a divorce have a few lovers. He said it was to meet physical needs, now older, women looking for love his heart at ease to live, finds me, like me. we have ML. his ex-girlfriend a few days before receiving the call, send text messages that he said a half months ago, broke up? to him and his girlfriend said I spoil him to coax him, very concerned about his love him, we will soon get married, so that ex-girlfriend to find a better man than he married.
know I have 10 days to pick him up ex-girlfriend phone, as if she could not bear to break up, called him crazy missed, and call me. He explained that he had wholeheartedly love ex-girlfriend (than me in February, unmarried), he had no room to live before the girlfriend's house and found her always do not really love him, his temper is not good, then raised to break up, could not bear to not share. was completed renovated house to pay ex-girlfriend, he wanted them to live together, she and her family do not agree, say what he bought after marriage be. He felt her family does not appreciate him, not the next, and finally determined to break up. She struggled to stay in contact, until know I broke up with her completely. He always said I love him more than attention to his ex-girlfriend, he would really To me, he is really good to me, and I want to marry him. Shun Shun help me analyze our prospects.
8 月底 has also 3 months, not long, you really know him? ex-girlfriend after breaking up has been able to struggle, I am afraid it is too much he owed to others? he did not live in one room home, getting married is also very stingy, for you, you happy ah? He said you love him more than attention to his ex-girlfriend Well, I'm a small person to ask the question: Are you always give him money, and the economic well-off ah? Remember, the man fast heating and cooling faster.
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9, my husband the ability to work general, can only earn a subsistence money, honest people timid and dull, but also premature ejaculation. something to carry home a live, sighed. to do the housework will not work with children has always been me and my parents worked hard. I slowly from a gently ground into a losers to worry about the girl's aunt, and earn money to support their families educate their children, care for parents, especially parents to help me too much. I know, this I have no problem, it looks okay; I fell, the husband simply unreliable, he will panic into a ball, will complain and escape. I now have two choices: I'm pretty good, work pressure is also large, and a friend also present in private business, prospects are good, hard look to earn more, to the children and father and mother good living environment, I can retire early. But, frankly, that people have been very good to me, waiting for me, I was like him, think he ability, If we have success, I estimate the house is also scattered. or give up, and lovers of all contacts, including business, cheer, and her husband over, eyes closed, does not see his weaknesses, education to convince myself resign to fate, and try to find her husband advantages over ordinary blind date, right?
want to improve the quality of life, more money, there are old-age book, you can do business, and men can also do business, but it is best not to mix with partners and bed for one person. feelings is feeling, the economy is the economy, lasting more cooperation between the two can be separated.
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10, as early as two and a half hours before her boyfriend, and then made no contact with, despite their city. I thought We will never contacted because the break was his, and he was very definitely off. I also arrogant, not entangled. may be a recent night, he call me, and said the past few years has not forgotten me, I also love to propose to me. that night and went to my house to ask my current situation, but then never heard of since. we did not for a third party broke up, but I did not work, mood instability. his home state not good, he can not attend to me, and he felt tired with me. I pride was great, want to live with dignity in front of men, want to love but do not know love.
separate the years, I did not find someone else, obsessed with work, feeling blank, working a modicum of success. ex-boyfriend, a strong sense of professionalism, from small family is poor, bent out ahead. He explained that time was to break up the cause of Shenbuyouyi. The fact is that the two years he start a company, bought a car from a leap into the petty bourgeoisie class wage earners. I do not deny that I still love him, but a strong personality I can accept him? him that two years to find someone else. I do not understand , if he loves me, why is this two and a half to not care about me? is not in the other woman was hit and we have to find my comfort?
him not to contact you that once, made no audio ? He should be a little too much to drink one night, and loneliness (not recently did a woman, but did not call you the night of the woman) to mix your time, so he also woke up the next day sober , and once they find the woman and the life he needs to go. only so far, you should not even think much.
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11, I have had the phenomenon of premature ejaculation, found a lot of the hospital, saw many doctors, and ultimately situation as before. see Shun Shun blog, so many women so divorce was hurt. Shun Shun Jigejianyi, how can I do?
do not find sexual excitement in women, not to appropriate it? encounter the kind of gestures are Male Yuannv Fierce rivalry crazy good and bad, very affordable very fierce. sincerely asked along, the benefits ferocious world of evil men and women, there was no transfer of the good love? should take the total betrayal or betrayal far visions mind, or with a youthful innocence should always be entrusted to the person experiencing the revolutionary Marxist optimism?
love is there, but preservation of short points. you as long as the end of the shelf, to spend love Other ancillary products, it is not angry nor afraid. love to have sex, unrequited love, or they do not concentrate, do not sleep with him. revolutionism optimism reflected in the marriage, that is to go with the flow, do not Suicide is not entangled, and more think about the consequences, you can avoid many future're sure to regret it happened.
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13, I am a sophomore, recently did not want to learn, do not know what to learn, what the future . This is my situation and students in general, please pointers.
I am not a cliche, do not want to Yilaomailao, just tell you one thing: look at the money's sake, or in a special time to study hard, read the book . your father and mother earn hard for you to never hesitate to spend money, they want to just make you a little more capital to survive the future, and reading is required before the process of self-reliance.
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14, you are always advised facing a single mother with children remarry, do not ask too much, the men would be better to find, for men, marriage is the buyer's market. I am a single mother with children, widowed 36 years old, I feel good condition, looks in on MA, public institutions, there are two suites hundreds of thousands of deposits. now her boyfriend and my age, but also with a boy, communications companies of middle income and I almost have an apartment and a car did not deposits, deposits gave the ex-wife, with son Do not take his ex-wife alimony, though his ex-wife from the derailment. and he exchanges a few months, he told me very happy, going to think of ways and I married another child, I firmly whether the. and he was very emotional exchange of he was somewhat dissatisfied with his sexuality, his desire Tingduo capacity less impressive than my ex-husband to a little gap, and I was a makeshift. think about whether it was him because, like a colored woman, said, Ting not exported. Also, he is also working to meet me, I'm afraid can not find a good find, hesitate. remarry really tired, tired heart is.
2 suites if you have not got the deposit and cause hundreds of thousands of units of a steady income, even if you looks good, education is not low, it is difficult to keep your eyes this man was consequently unsuccessful. This is the reality, the reality for so bored. you're lucky, have a man to divorce inviting the material basis for a chance to successfully remarry. but God and mean, not always people that everything is okay, so he is bound to have shortcomings. You for sex if he has, I Shutaimuzhi at you, you If reality with him, I support you because you probably had no other choice.
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15, a wife and son, Dr. entrance examination, his wife for the study. mentor is not kind, usually three, Dr. In college, I handed him the papers on time, he repeatedly said Meikan Wan, has been seen for 17 months! the time I graduated forcibly dragged from the three years. This is the middle fell foul of him, useless. there times I go straight to his house and said you no matter how much reading, I took go back and change, you change the complete look. He did not give, let me tomorrow. the next day to find 100 pages of summary of conclusions of the paper only there are a few words at the changes, everything else untouched. My brothers and sisters Shidishimei all of this, do not graduate on time, did not quarrel to no mm graduated 7 years unless the school not to drag its feet up. Although I have escape, remember that period of time in hell is still very accurate. now the supervisor of the PhD graduate school I was the only one who was kind enough to contact him, all the other ignored him, and even face to face meeting also saw him as nothing, I really scared for him! I told him to contact the education system first, because I also do not want to be too embarrassing; Second, he read my thesis year and a half, I made a lot of nothing to do additional research, have now bearing fruit With the economic benefits, although paid off, and his margin of evil can be considered to help it!
my experience is not an isolated phenomenon in schools, would like to ask smart Shun-shun, graduate students how to deal with this kind of teacher does not (see two people dropped out of this situation altogether)? By the way, is not a graduate mentor program to prevent dragging did not finish and, if so I would understand. supervisor also briefly describe the background about it: engaged Lands are back 20 years to do academic mm course difficult academic achievement, the basic thesis is read, mentioning issues are outsiders, become much like the feeling surrounded by three thousand disciples, like the preaching sermons, but saying nothing, mostly nonsense, even by students of Class H of the lost personnel hh teacher I've ever seen where he counted Need a!
you have heard of such a situation, my understanding is: where there is a crowd left, right, doctoral team can not hundred percent pure and noble by the intellectuals, the problem of human nature and degree titles are not linked. can only suggest that students who have not yet chosen a mentor in the decision to apply objective, through a variety of find out more about multiple ways to best understand the object of the instructors in the past, in reading the master's and doctoral. mm teachers with the wrong woman to marry the wrong person than it seems still miserable, marry the wrong person to remarry, with the wrong instructors Meizhe , can only endure in the end. So, in order to avoid wrong with the teacher, a waste of youth, you have to and get married as early end to the other side to find out.
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16, female 29, married for a year in April pregnancy are feeling tremendous pressure, the couple point of a monthly income of twenty thousand, women (close four thousand) is responsible for home chores expenditure, M is responsible for housing, is also responsible for all expenses of his own family: two sisters read (a third year of a sophomore), his parents living expenses. groom can not reduce our stress, each man to spend a by a male dad did not always speak for money in addition to two things, recently called to forty thousand, said it wants to pig together, leaving New Year meat. but man for a month in addition to the two sister living room and he is running low, male pressure to tell my father did not deposit many times, his parents can not understand, or money. how to let her in-laws understand the pressure of our lives, no extra money to their luxury? I would like to speak and they say, but I do not know how to say, I can say you?
you men and your monthly income and expenditure list record, and then print it out to you to see her in-laws and tell them: even want to eat meat, they have fattened the pigs point, or toss the pigs died or Leibing, they should not even think to eat a mouthful of meat. Also, in the future couple all the money from your control, dominate, so that her in-laws know that is not to be trifled wife, son was useless, the son of the family by the wife call the shots, so that they reach the probability of mouth will be greatly reduced.
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17, she said Tuesday of the match along the cornerstone of marriage, and if it not to get married, and also said that marriage can not take your pants off ...... it was in the end we supposed to do?
I did not say , want to know whether the other can make their own sexual satisfaction, that is a contradiction. I think need to bet: either courage to divorce, or dare to place the body to a non-marriage. lost the bet to win bet may fifty-five open, learn to pay will be able to figured out.
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18, I am 23, young lady sleeping prostitute when eating and drinking father owed hundreds of thousands, the quit public migrate, the mother has been divorced for ten years with a lover She acts as a third party. I grew up insecure, after graduating from the University of the resignation of three streams that something was in college, or pregnancy abortion, a direct ex-boyfriend after the leave, after six months of therapy I finally get out of. Now not pay university tuition fees . You said spouse should pay attention to family background and economic conditions, the experience of the woman that I, can only find a similar and their own people? prime marriage? I'm not contented, I do not have father's debts? but I always wanted to know where is the future, the future without a father checks, how will my marriage?
family environment is not good, is your poor place, but did not father the child is not like you are decadent. acquired the hard work is very important, I have said a hundred times N, as long as you work hard in learning, and to pay, and there achievements, and certainly transport. or else you will always be a shadow of a man past the psychological sub-health. Do not want to own future where the first sight of the full use of every day, do not think there is no guidelines on how to find a man my father, as long as you let you stick with good character and efforts of a man, sooner or later life will get better. can not be themselves abandoned, but also blame God does not love you.
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19, divorced why women can no longer do meet the right people. I divorced four years, three years ago to touch a foreign male, looks conditions are general, when the men started going very carefully, although no money to buy food and clothing are also willing to women, marry women, marry women to the field after the men have to live with. With the deepening exchanges and women think that with his knowledge and character, the gap are too large to fit together with the son of her ex-husband, has not agreed to. has flow twice married men insisted on giving birth, women can not take risks, a female long-term illness due to medication, the fear of an unhealthy child, two women also due to is not determined to marry a male. Second all out to do, to accompany women to do the second Cinan out ten days after a child is no longer contact women, as disappeared in general. women very sad, but do not want to bow to take the initiative to find men and women as He suffered but he by this indifferent. Soon, he is so whether the behavior is determined not to female and from it? women how to do it. heart pain, men how to do so unfeeling?
people looking for my wife, you bring people as non-sexual partners, family stability in order to throw later in life you are gone. Do not say abortion is that you suffer for his sake, you also have orgasm when having sex, you do not do a good job of contraception He can knock down a child even if the utmost patience with you, you want to hurt his wife like the same pain you? You are not other people's wives, requiring far.
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20, unfortunately, my husband just you say that is weak-type derailment male, repeatedly derailed and depend for their children at home again. Finally, I hard-hearted at the end of last year and he thoroughly divorced. I am 37 years old, the benefits outside the show, she is all looks good, very agreeable like the opposite sex . this summer and a 4-year-old unmarried acquaintances ego development of a relationship. He was very considerate, honest part, have sex with several contacts to find him this is not the line, time is too short. because he was an only child at home, recent home elderly people suffering from cancer, to die onslaught he married, he was quite difficult. can see he loves me, I know and he probably will not have results, but a small social circle, not a suitable candidate around, but also obsessed by his pet care, and he is still tangled, supposed ah?
why not him? In addition to sexual difference, there are other reasons not? not, to make do with him to the.
hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh < br> 21, I have a question, I think you are an expert on marriage, your marriage counselor and professional anything, just Love and Marriage Love this thing? read your blog, I feel your life to do all-around have doubts, just like you how to call an expert? How to become a marriage counselor? need to take the license exam, or other? this job in the future will be fire yo, really, you are the best I've ever seen sharp experts. Soon Miss You so much every day is really hard work. attention to the body, more exercise, do shoulder and neck exercises, your health is our greatest wish. parenthesis, I hope one day I talk to you face to face conversation, brackets End. I was myself you are assimilated.
so to speak, I formal marriage counselors out of Coban distinction: they pay more attention to not stir up trouble, cautiously, I am more concerned about my pay is not sincere, if not so I tell the truth, I would not open. Of course, consultants experience cognitive IQ is a difference, I claim a little proud about it, now that I'm stupid I was the only father and mother and my men, this that I am not silly, not stupid is smart, intelligent people can certainly talk less confused any more. Ha, who hate me have to say I was Joseph, and TA are not careful letting their angry, oh well. < br> Speaking of how to do marriage counselors, the traditional research, there are some voluntary work along this free service to break out. most people eat Kulei I had ever eaten, so you still choose the former bar. Also, you the things that I can be doubts on the life, which is being forced out of consultants, what people ...
Open holes in the trees: moushun@hotmail.com. Select a letter from an open back, please do not involving personal privacy. You just write to me, I turned to conceited. Also, you have the right to send a letter to me, I have the right to deal with letters, reply not reply, when answered, will please Haihan.
open holes in the trees do not respond to more than 500 words long letter, not answer letter of advice for others. Q give up work and future of; the two children should not be the; can not be an unmarried mother; sexless marriage how to do and do not want a divorce; want a divorce could not bear children; afraid of looking after him apart even worse than he's; how to do a man derailed; man is nothing but the divorce could not make the hand; older anxious to marry but of underachievement and how to get along with long-term extramarital lover, and her husband Yu Xiao-law's strong I go from here, whether married hepatitis B patients or carriers of hepatitis B virus? @ gmail.com. words and open holes in the trees over 500 did not answer, as well as issues related to privacy inconvenience exposure, all send private tree. The tree holes received a hard charge. privacy holes in trees and also has to talk phone, such as no time to write, you can write to yushunshun@gmail.com looking for family number. In order to avoid harassment, the phone will refuse to listen to refuse to return calls to any message without an appointment. thank you.
tree holes no matter what the letter sent to , please do not use attachments. Where the open holes in the trees received a letter, will soon be copied into the document, do not read the contents of mailbox name and address, so do the letters after a few days or on any blog, and then asked me to delete a letter or check the source of a letter, I did not have no time to find the energy. sorry.
1, 34 men and 29 women, all masters, college work (not the appearance of women than for men.) understanding of current through the network are son of three and a half. poor men find that the expression of love, not romantic, women take the initiative and a good fight, during which women thought about breaking up, but considering the men and epilepsy (high school, committed, self-knowledge and awareness of medication but has not committed), not bear. dull married life, men and children love a plus, but for women only, as their loved ones, get along well. Women often feel no sense of happiness. Shun Shun, then read your blog if I will be replaced, how to do now ? married on such a tragic fate of a little boy do?
this fate if the calculation dire, China has more than 6 percent of married women like you Bitter was. was able to vote for him, he should be considered different from men : calculate the time you get married, he was up to 25 bar, 25 boys and 30 of the older girls between the deep feelings if it does not and can not get married, no happiness, just a few years of your marriage on sublimation the demand for marriage new problems emerge. premarital and married him, he should be no change, just change your mind, do you now want to do my sister sister, where he can fulfill you. take you as family is the best, because only separated from their loved ones, lovers love easily change. you order the case, acknowledge your fate. ask for it, would have recognized.
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2, he was 23, I 22 , recognizing the network, and later developments are telephone and meet. started feeling good, never quarrel, but he was careless and even rainy day and an umbrella with him, he turned around and allow you to shower in the rain. five years , and recently contradictions, cause I get angry, but I get angry less than 10 minutes pass by, do not mind so much, he will have patience with me over the past, to coax me, and now he can not, that annoying! I am usually wrong the first to apologize, but he generally dwell with me three or four days this is what we fight mode; If I'm not angry, all right, if I accidentally made a little fire, he would kill me. He is not perfect, where there are unhappy people are not satisfied, but he asked me a little fire can not be made, to be honest, I write emotional weakness is easy to face.
his home city of my countryside, his family was better than him, I never find it too However, only sometimes will complain about unsatisfactory under only. mode of love that has saved? The practice quickly as seen in April, and found that they were in January, see one, and said to break up before the alarm three times, the same problem . He said he did not love, that there woman like him better than me. I also feel tired, how do? As this is my first angry, and I apologized to him last night, but he said a lot of hurt me self-esteem, then, and said nobody wanted a woman like me! can appreciate my work to be led, popularity is not bad, he really does not love me? we can survive?
both 5 years, has been enough of a miracle, true to the time of the bulk, because you are all grown up. You are faced with the reality of the problem: and his two places, relations are not harmonious, he does not love you. whether or not to accept the reality as you, but I have to remind you: blindly give useless.
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3, 26 men and 27 women, who fell in love with 7 years, is now breaking up. love the first 3 years of college, and female staff, male graduate and 3 years This is a very good relationship 6 years. seventh year, the parents buy a house to the women (men and women are overseas), women and men and women fight to hear the parents of men are dissatisfied, but on his character and so satisfied with the work of education. female parents feel Men like to pick things, such as calling a female and male, men hear women in the eating, playing keyboard, to get angry, and said , forced women admit. Women working for the great help from the groom's family is busy, but because of misunderstanding, the Chinese New Year women did not go to the groom, his family in front of men feel suppressed, they feel that women do not care about him, and he mentioned breaking up, is breaking up 9 months. men like their women everywhere rely on him, he was the center. can women feel lost his own, if and men to continue, can not do the things you like everything to men allowed women a sense of oppression. Now men and women respectively, and the other parents have to contact the other parents love their children, a chance to look back. women are entangled, men and women work in education are allocated, that is, different values, maybe it is not the back, or this relationship is also suitable up?
different values, but a big problem, can not be underestimated, as it relates to you the same thing with different views and practices: this is the root of conflict ah. his condition with you again, are blocked You do not live the way he and the basic obstacles. if his wedding will be noisy and Biequ lifetime.
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4, female, 28 male and 25, exchanges the last two years, is remote provinces. F graduate civil servants, male undergraduate no steady job, make their own trading business, good times and bad, but self-sufficient. Women whose families are better than men. matriarch of a strong opposition. and the men and women find a common language, good feelings, and relationship has been, and my heart feel like substitutions are liable to future generations find it too. If you insist on together, only male to female city to continue to do business. male introverted, concerned men and women to the city will not meet total strangers, and being matriarch supercilious. Also, if men and women have been worried about doing business, the two unstable life, and social identity are different. women worry about the outcome, some time ago do not see the future, to mention break up, although men agreed, but both are very sad, but also gradually restored contact. primarily through the mobile phone network. breaking up the family of a blind by the number of women, always feel unworthy of men, dinner and a movie not in the mind, the blind date certain all to no avail. women entangled in his heart that it should and men together, but the reality full of difficulties, we supposed to do?
two difficulties, you do not agree with his career and do not trust himself and his future, and at home against, he younger than you, for these reasons is sufficient to prove not joking responsible. of course, love him to not let go, it took courage to challenge the world to challenge themselves, do not worry about the outcome, it would only let you trade-off.
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5, I was 80, students do not every time. If there is no high prices, if we can use 3 to 5 years income to buy a suite, life would be a lot easier. because the house, we are afraid of unemployment, not business, was forced to bite the old, not raising the next generation. not few developers hack writer in the media talking about the young life of the house the important role of happiness, I think this is the contemporary market economy in China, the biggest lies, more expensive than the heritage of the house price to give to young people of today Only pain and helplessness. a graduate of Beijing University graduate 5 years after 80, never saw their parents to Beijing and lived together, ask the reason, replied: do not want them to come, so I bought a house to say. struggle for life . the most promising potential to make China the most powerful one
generation, and now because of the high prices and reduced to the blog short people. It is no exaggeration to say that, after 80 real estate and descend into the least ambition generation.
you have great ideas, but you thought is not really of touch. For example you say . society continues to move forward, each toward the pillar and foundation of every generation, or how they are today? and 20 years ago, Beijing University students may not have power vision, 10 years ago, Beijing University students may not want to be an outbreak of households, Rengeyouzhi, the pursuit of any era have shown the complex and diverse, Beijing University students can not represent all the intellectuals. high prices is not only the North out of combat, the price issue is related to political, Caomin were only obedient, hair useless to complain, or try to make himself valuable to it. parenthesis, the value ranging from Consists value, end brackets.
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6, I got married in September, is pregnant in May. My husband is very nice to a friend Well, good for me, I love him. but he is lazy, play games late into the night, he did not go to bed I could not sleep, a bed I want to say what he said, he always said, tired, and then it fast asleep. married to this thing, and he now only had a fight, after arguing for several days and that, along with any good trick? from pregnant, her husband is little to sex with, or will it hold me to sleep at night will always touch me, every time I want, her husband said no, in fact he was not hard, is refused, preferring my hand through your mouth to help him, but he never gave my mouth, then I really fail to beat Hey out to be only a quick minute to S a (not pregnant had sex with, he also is not enthusiastic, to say too much physical injury), asked him if he is not afraid to poke away ah baby, he shook his head, and that Why did not you tell me hey? (I have more than a week before to a back three days before a return when not pregnant, not that much, right?)
pregnant, you men afraid of trouble, had sexual interest is not high , he even did not want sex with. As for him never to give you mouth, then all you used to: he will not let you cool, you can not touch him Well, why do you wait on him Dianzhe stomach? Stop complaining and be happy to own. You can search point related materials see you man, tell him now as long as the tender points, having sex will not affect the child, not sex with him a long time, or only let you for his service, but added will affect the the mental state of the child mother, children and old mother happy, the children will have a bad temper tire inner tube, tube is difficult to grow up, let him consider the consequences.
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7, 38 single women, do not want to remarry . her boyfriend of 50 home. another good, now I would like to regulation is, they can not find out his reasons, in fact, know of one, is the moral bottom line is not allowed. I decided to forget themselves in the rivers and lakes to each other, but he do not want to. Please Shun Shun Weapon, how can we make peace with his departure?
money, a lot of money, usually a man will be so scared of. If he was an exception, then talk to him to the marriage, but with the condition that all property to marry you, can not take money to leave his wife for a divorce. If he can not do to please his own side of the self-esteem go.
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8, female 37, 11-year-old woman, 46 recognize divorce by the end of August M, monthly income of 6K, a daughter to college. enthusiasm after meeting the initiative, warming quickly. considerate care of me, everything obedient. to go and a lot of text messages a few phone calls a day. but the young men serving in the army and work in the field period, due to feelings of substandard and his wife, not a divorce have a few lovers. He said it was to meet physical needs, now older, women looking for love his heart at ease to live, finds me, like me. we have ML. his ex-girlfriend a few days before receiving the call, send text messages that he said a half months ago, broke up? to him and his girlfriend said I spoil him to coax him, very concerned about his love him, we will soon get married, so that ex-girlfriend to find a better man than he married.
know I have 10 days to pick him up ex-girlfriend phone, as if she could not bear to break up, called him crazy missed, and call me. He explained that he had wholeheartedly love ex-girlfriend (than me in February, unmarried), he had no room to live before the girlfriend's house and found her always do not really love him, his temper is not good, then raised to break up, could not bear to not share. was completed renovated house to pay ex-girlfriend, he wanted them to live together, she and her family do not agree, say what he bought after marriage be. He felt her family does not appreciate him, not the next, and finally determined to break up. She struggled to stay in contact, until know I broke up with her completely. He always said I love him more than attention to his ex-girlfriend, he would really To me, he is really good to me, and I want to marry him. Shun Shun help me analyze our prospects.
8 月底 has also 3 months, not long, you really know him? ex-girlfriend after breaking up has been able to struggle, I am afraid it is too much he owed to others? he did not live in one room home, getting married is also very stingy, for you, you happy ah? He said you love him more than attention to his ex-girlfriend Well, I'm a small person to ask the question: Are you always give him money, and the economic well-off ah? Remember, the man fast heating and cooling faster.
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9, my husband the ability to work general, can only earn a subsistence money, honest people timid and dull, but also premature ejaculation. something to carry home a live, sighed. to do the housework will not work with children has always been me and my parents worked hard. I slowly from a gently ground into a losers to worry about the girl's aunt, and earn money to support their families educate their children, care for parents, especially parents to help me too much. I know, this I have no problem, it looks okay; I fell, the husband simply unreliable, he will panic into a ball, will complain and escape. I now have two choices: I'm pretty good, work pressure is also large, and a friend also present in private business, prospects are good, hard look to earn more, to the children and father and mother good living environment, I can retire early. But, frankly, that people have been very good to me, waiting for me, I was like him, think he ability, If we have success, I estimate the house is also scattered. or give up, and lovers of all contacts, including business, cheer, and her husband over, eyes closed, does not see his weaknesses, education to convince myself resign to fate, and try to find her husband advantages over ordinary blind date, right?
want to improve the quality of life, more money, there are old-age book, you can do business, and men can also do business, but it is best not to mix with partners and bed for one person. feelings is feeling, the economy is the economy, lasting more cooperation between the two can be separated.
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10, as early as two and a half hours before her boyfriend, and then made no contact with, despite their city. I thought We will never contacted because the break was his, and he was very definitely off. I also arrogant, not entangled. may be a recent night, he call me, and said the past few years has not forgotten me, I also love to propose to me. that night and went to my house to ask my current situation, but then never heard of since. we did not for a third party broke up, but I did not work, mood instability. his home state not good, he can not attend to me, and he felt tired with me. I pride was great, want to live with dignity in front of men, want to love but do not know love.
separate the years, I did not find someone else, obsessed with work, feeling blank, working a modicum of success. ex-boyfriend, a strong sense of professionalism, from small family is poor, bent out ahead. He explained that time was to break up the cause of Shenbuyouyi. The fact is that the two years he start a company, bought a car from a leap into the petty bourgeoisie class wage earners. I do not deny that I still love him, but a strong personality I can accept him? him that two years to find someone else. I do not understand , if he loves me, why is this two and a half to not care about me? is not in the other woman was hit and we have to find my comfort?
him not to contact you that once, made no audio ? He should be a little too much to drink one night, and loneliness (not recently did a woman, but did not call you the night of the woman) to mix your time, so he also woke up the next day sober , and once they find the woman and the life he needs to go. only so far, you should not even think much.
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11, I have had the phenomenon of premature ejaculation, found a lot of the hospital, saw many doctors, and ultimately situation as before. see Shun Shun blog, so many women so divorce was hurt. Shun Shun Jigejianyi, how can I do?
do not find sexual excitement in women, not to appropriate it? encounter the kind of gestures are Male Yuannv Fierce rivalry crazy good and bad, very affordable very fierce. sincerely asked along, the benefits ferocious world of evil men and women, there was no transfer of the good love? should take the total betrayal or betrayal far visions mind, or with a youthful innocence should always be entrusted to the person experiencing the revolutionary Marxist optimism?
love is there, but preservation of short points. you as long as the end of the shelf, to spend love Other ancillary products, it is not angry nor afraid. love to have sex, unrequited love, or they do not concentrate, do not sleep with him. revolutionism optimism reflected in the marriage, that is to go with the flow, do not Suicide is not entangled, and more think about the consequences, you can avoid many future're sure to regret it happened.
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13, I am a sophomore, recently did not want to learn, do not know what to learn, what the future . This is my situation and students in general, please pointers.
I am not a cliche, do not want to Yilaomailao, just tell you one thing: look at the money's sake, or in a special time to study hard, read the book . your father and mother earn hard for you to never hesitate to spend money, they want to just make you a little more capital to survive the future, and reading is required before the process of self-reliance.
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14, you are always advised facing a single mother with children remarry, do not ask too much, the men would be better to find, for men, marriage is the buyer's market. I am a single mother with children, widowed 36 years old, I feel good condition, looks in on MA, public institutions, there are two suites hundreds of thousands of deposits. now her boyfriend and my age, but also with a boy, communications companies of middle income and I almost have an apartment and a car did not deposits, deposits gave the ex-wife, with son Do not take his ex-wife alimony, though his ex-wife from the derailment. and he exchanges a few months, he told me very happy, going to think of ways and I married another child, I firmly whether the. and he was very emotional exchange of he was somewhat dissatisfied with his sexuality, his desire Tingduo capacity less impressive than my ex-husband to a little gap, and I was a makeshift. think about whether it was him because, like a colored woman, said, Ting not exported. Also, he is also working to meet me, I'm afraid can not find a good find, hesitate. remarry really tired, tired heart is.
2 suites if you have not got the deposit and cause hundreds of thousands of units of a steady income, even if you looks good, education is not low, it is difficult to keep your eyes this man was consequently unsuccessful. This is the reality, the reality for so bored. you're lucky, have a man to divorce inviting the material basis for a chance to successfully remarry. but God and mean, not always people that everything is okay, so he is bound to have shortcomings. You for sex if he has, I Shutaimuzhi at you, you If reality with him, I support you because you probably had no other choice.
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15, a wife and son, Dr. entrance examination, his wife for the study. mentor is not kind, usually three, Dr. In college, I handed him the papers on time, he repeatedly said Meikan Wan, has been seen for 17 months! the time I graduated forcibly dragged from the three years. This is the middle fell foul of him, useless. there times I go straight to his house and said you no matter how much reading, I took go back and change, you change the complete look. He did not give, let me tomorrow. the next day to find 100 pages of summary of conclusions of the paper only there are a few words at the changes, everything else untouched. My brothers and sisters Shidishimei all of this, do not graduate on time, did not quarrel to no mm graduated 7 years unless the school not to drag its feet up. Although I have escape, remember that period of time in hell is still very accurate. now the supervisor of the PhD graduate school I was the only one who was kind enough to contact him, all the other ignored him, and even face to face meeting also saw him as nothing, I really scared for him! I told him to contact the education system first, because I also do not want to be too embarrassing; Second, he read my thesis year and a half, I made a lot of nothing to do additional research, have now bearing fruit With the economic benefits, although paid off, and his margin of evil can be considered to help it!
my experience is not an isolated phenomenon in schools, would like to ask smart Shun-shun, graduate students how to deal with this kind of teacher does not (see two people dropped out of this situation altogether)? By the way, is not a graduate mentor program to prevent dragging did not finish and, if so I would understand. supervisor also briefly describe the background about it: engaged Lands are back 20 years to do academic mm course difficult academic achievement, the basic thesis is read, mentioning issues are outsiders, become much like the feeling surrounded by three thousand disciples, like the preaching sermons, but saying nothing, mostly nonsense, even by students of Class H of the lost personnel hh teacher I've ever seen where he counted Need a!
you have heard of such a situation, my understanding is: where there is a crowd left, right, doctoral team can not hundred percent pure and noble by the intellectuals, the problem of human nature and degree titles are not linked. can only suggest that students who have not yet chosen a mentor in the decision to apply objective, through a variety of find out more about multiple ways to best understand the object of the instructors in the past, in reading the master's and doctoral. mm teachers with the wrong woman to marry the wrong person than it seems still miserable, marry the wrong person to remarry, with the wrong instructors Meizhe , can only endure in the end. So, in order to avoid wrong with the teacher, a waste of youth, you have to and get married as early end to the other side to find out.
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16, female 29, married for a year in April pregnancy are feeling tremendous pressure, the couple point of a monthly income of twenty thousand, women (close four thousand) is responsible for home chores expenditure, M is responsible for housing, is also responsible for all expenses of his own family: two sisters read (a third year of a sophomore), his parents living expenses. groom can not reduce our stress, each man to spend a by a male dad did not always speak for money in addition to two things, recently called to forty thousand, said it wants to pig together, leaving New Year meat. but man for a month in addition to the two sister living room and he is running low, male pressure to tell my father did not deposit many times, his parents can not understand, or money. how to let her in-laws understand the pressure of our lives, no extra money to their luxury? I would like to speak and they say, but I do not know how to say, I can say you?
you men and your monthly income and expenditure list record, and then print it out to you to see her in-laws and tell them: even want to eat meat, they have fattened the pigs point, or toss the pigs died or Leibing, they should not even think to eat a mouthful of meat. Also, in the future couple all the money from your control, dominate, so that her in-laws know that is not to be trifled wife, son was useless, the son of the family by the wife call the shots, so that they reach the probability of mouth will be greatly reduced.
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17, she said Tuesday of the match along the cornerstone of marriage, and if it not to get married, and also said that marriage can not take your pants off ...... it was in the end we supposed to do?
I did not say , want to know whether the other can make their own sexual satisfaction, that is a contradiction. I think need to bet: either courage to divorce, or dare to place the body to a non-marriage. lost the bet to win bet may fifty-five open, learn to pay will be able to figured out.
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18, I am 23, young lady sleeping prostitute when eating and drinking father owed hundreds of thousands, the quit public migrate, the mother has been divorced for ten years with a lover She acts as a third party. I grew up insecure, after graduating from the University of the resignation of three streams that something was in college, or pregnancy abortion, a direct ex-boyfriend after the leave, after six months of therapy I finally get out of. Now not pay university tuition fees . You said spouse should pay attention to family background and economic conditions, the experience of the woman that I, can only find a similar and their own people? prime marriage? I'm not contented, I do not have father's debts? but I always wanted to know where is the future, the future without a father checks, how will my marriage?
family environment is not good, is your poor place, but did not father the child is not like you are decadent. acquired the hard work is very important, I have said a hundred times N, as long as you work hard in learning, and to pay, and there achievements, and certainly transport. or else you will always be a shadow of a man past the psychological sub-health. Do not want to own future where the first sight of the full use of every day, do not think there is no guidelines on how to find a man my father, as long as you let you stick with good character and efforts of a man, sooner or later life will get better. can not be themselves abandoned, but also blame God does not love you.
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19, divorced why women can no longer do meet the right people. I divorced four years, three years ago to touch a foreign male, looks conditions are general, when the men started going very carefully, although no money to buy food and clothing are also willing to women, marry women, marry women to the field after the men have to live with. With the deepening exchanges and women think that with his knowledge and character, the gap are too large to fit together with the son of her ex-husband, has not agreed to. has flow twice married men insisted on giving birth, women can not take risks, a female long-term illness due to medication, the fear of an unhealthy child, two women also due to is not determined to marry a male. Second all out to do, to accompany women to do the second Cinan out ten days after a child is no longer contact women, as disappeared in general. women very sad, but do not want to bow to take the initiative to find men and women as He suffered but he by this indifferent. Soon, he is so whether the behavior is determined not to female and from it? women how to do it. heart pain, men how to do so unfeeling?
people looking for my wife, you bring people as non-sexual partners, family stability in order to throw later in life you are gone. Do not say abortion is that you suffer for his sake, you also have orgasm when having sex, you do not do a good job of contraception He can knock down a child even if the utmost patience with you, you want to hurt his wife like the same pain you? You are not other people's wives, requiring far.
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20, unfortunately, my husband just you say that is weak-type derailment male, repeatedly derailed and depend for their children at home again. Finally, I hard-hearted at the end of last year and he thoroughly divorced. I am 37 years old, the benefits outside the show, she is all looks good, very agreeable like the opposite sex . this summer and a 4-year-old unmarried acquaintances ego development of a relationship. He was very considerate, honest part, have sex with several contacts to find him this is not the line, time is too short. because he was an only child at home, recent home elderly people suffering from cancer, to die onslaught he married, he was quite difficult. can see he loves me, I know and he probably will not have results, but a small social circle, not a suitable candidate around, but also obsessed by his pet care, and he is still tangled, supposed ah?
why not him? In addition to sexual difference, there are other reasons not? not, to make do with him to the.
hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh < br> 21, I have a question, I think you are an expert on marriage, your marriage counselor and professional anything, just Love and Marriage Love this thing? read your blog, I feel your life to do all-around have doubts, just like you how to call an expert? How to become a marriage counselor? need to take the license exam, or other? this job in the future will be fire yo, really, you are the best I've ever seen sharp experts. Soon Miss You so much every day is really hard work. attention to the body, more exercise, do shoulder and neck exercises, your health is our greatest wish. parenthesis, I hope one day I talk to you face to face conversation, brackets End. I was myself you are assimilated.
so to speak, I formal marriage counselors out of Coban distinction: they pay more attention to not stir up trouble, cautiously, I am more concerned about my pay is not sincere, if not so I tell the truth, I would not open. Of course, consultants experience cognitive IQ is a difference, I claim a little proud about it, now that I'm stupid I was the only father and mother and my men, this that I am not silly, not stupid is smart, intelligent people can certainly talk less confused any more. Ha, who hate me have to say I was Joseph, and TA are not careful letting their angry, oh well. < br> Speaking of how to do marriage counselors, the traditional research, there are some voluntary work along this free service to break out. most people eat Kulei I had ever eaten, so you still choose the former bar. Also, you the things that I can be doubts on the life, which is being forced out of consultants, what people ...
Thursday, February 24, 2011
And real information about the core interviews Zhang Cheng could save Euro 750 billion euros
And information network: you and hearing friends, good afternoon, welcome to visit and interview the core telecommunications network, and I host Cho-Chou Kuo today. There was a time not to meet you, because it is busy for some time in several forums, today finally time we do a core interview. (17: 13)
and Information Network: relatively hot topic of recent sovereign debt crisis of the EU, we had the Greek does not seem very worried about the debt crisis is now intensifying the EU announced 10 March .5 an unprecedented 750 billion euros (much higher than the current 787 billion U.S. dollars in U.S. aid program) rescue plan, the EU plans to disclose, 750 billion euros rescue mechanism from , multi-national central bank will restart currency swap with the United States and the European Central Bank will buy the government and agency debt. For a time the stock market have soared in Europe and America. But just over a day, a variety of voices on the heels of doubt, and soon the stock market in Europe and America began to fall, making the EU a huge rescue plan casts a shadow. (17: 14)
and News Network: So, how could evolution of the debt crisis of Greece to the point? how to see 750 billion euros of rescue plan ? to the successful implementation of it? euro how the evolution of the debt crisis? the euro will fall apart? how to treat several major credit rating agencies play a role in the crisis? These problems may be particularly interested to know everyone. To this end, we issue Finance Sharon invited two guests, an international financial center of China Academy of Social Sciences General Dr. Zhang Ming. (17: 14)
Zhang: and telecommunications networks netizens Good afternoon! (17:15)
and News Network: there is a macroeconomic analyst at the Institute of Finance ICBC Dr. Cheng Shi guest and hearing. Dr. Cheng is a graduate of Fudan University, on the international financial problem is very insightful. (17: 15)
Cheng real: and telecommunications networks netizens, good afternoon! (17: 15)
and Information Network: the debt crisis began there early, and we think that is not very serious, Greece so small a country, What kind of impact can produce, what can cause the monstrous waves. but now looks like a lot of people are wrong, and now everyone is worried that the euro has been serious enough to be able to keep the problem. why the Greek debt crisis evolved into such a serious stage? If we had EU countries, notably Germany shot as soon as possible, is not it will not produce such a result? (17: 18)
real way: I feel the Greek sovereign debt crisis of this matter, if we already have clues dating back to 2005, Greece medium and long term problems are a regular bomb, it has not aroused much public attention. But in 2009, several major credit rating agencies have lowered the registration, we suddenly realized that this problem than we had imagined and more serious, which is Why the Greek sovereign debt crisis at the beginning of hiding for a long time, then suddenly broke out. a bit like the sub-prime crisis, the subprime crisis our first concern is March 2007, including the IMF, including the world's major international agencies define its starting in 2007, 7 to 8 months, that is the middle of incubation period. (17: 21)
Zhang: Greece itself, the crisis seems relatively small, because the Greek of the total euro area GDP2%, even if the problem is also the Greek the euro area will not get involved. Greece is not a country at war, and the Greek budget deficit and government debt with similar problems in several countries, such as we now more familiar with the five European countries, the scale of these countries, especially Spain and Italy, Greece, much larger than the size. These five countries together accounted for about euro-zone GDP is about one-third the weight. we fear the crisis in Greece, repeated in five European countries, such a fear is caused by financial market turmoil is important reason. (17: 26)
Zhang: Another reason, the Greek itself has some problems, for example, we all know, when to join the euro, Greece, and Goldman Sachs through a series of currency swap agreements cover their government debt. we feel that the credibility of the Greek government itself is missing. On the other hand is also very interesting, we all know that official statistics in Greece Greek billionaire is very small, probably no more than ten people. (17: 29)
Zhang: But the rich as a group in Greece, the euro area is quite famous, for example, one of my friends in investment banking, he said that the City of London is full of Greek billionaire tax system proved a problem with the Greek government. Greece has large underground economy, on the one hand is the lack of good faith, on the other tax limited capacity, we think the future of Greece through its difficult fiscal consolidation to reduce the deficit. I think these two reasons, the common and contributed to the further spread of the outbreak of the crisis. ( 17: 30)
and information networks: the EU until now to hand, if the long shot, things are not evolved to such an extent Buzhi Yu. Germany is not shot, the German hesitated, because by this time is not thinking about Greece kicked out of the euro area the opportunity to? (17: 30)
Zhang: Germany was not shot, just highlight the plight of the euro area. We all know that the establishment of a monetary union is good long-term interests of a country, but in many cases, common interests and national interests to fight, this time in Germany is very clear. the German public that we usually live frugally, work hard, why do we not very hard to save the Greeks? meaning people become politicians refuse to aid Greece reasons. (17: 31)
Zhang: In addition, I personally feel that this time the five countries, including Greece and Europe, they are in an awkward position in the euro area. There are two traditional means of national economic recession, currency devaluation expansionary fiscal and monetary policy. But for the countries of Greece, owned by the European Central Bank monetary policy, exchange rate there is no way, because the euro is not your final say, the last fiscal policy, fiscal policy can indeed have to do, but as cornerstone of the euro area the government debt has some limitations. In fact, as countries outside the euro zone, in the economic turmoil, particularly in the economic cycle and in your heart when the national inconsistent, not too many tools of macroeconomic adjustment, which highlights the difficulties. Germany is now the most important thing is to control inflation, and will not be very loose monetary policy, he is the euro, as well as aid to Greece itself, these issues will appear. (17: 32)
implementation process: I would like to add that Dr Cheung said very clearly earlier, the German Greece before the problem is not reflected very quickly in this one very important reason, he might feel that moral considerations. There are a very important point, the German aid Greece in this respect from the start that he might be in such a situation, in itself no guarantee of his own. just out of recession in Europe, the U.S. first quarter growth of 3.2% growth in the fourth quarter of last year, five percent in a few, the euro zone until the fourth quarter of last year is a contraction of negative 4.1, figures released yesterday, an increase of only 0.5%, meaning that the entire economic cycle, the euro area, including the whole of Europe is lagging behind the United States, one to two quarters. (17: 33)
implementation process: in this case, Germany did not fully estimate the beginning of the importance to Greece, or he may have much of an impact on their own. and he rates the debt burden, we know that at the outbreak of the Greek problem is more government debt ratio to 110%, then Germany debt ratio is 70% more than you put in perspective the entire euro zone, Germany ranked relatively higher. Germany on this issue, partly because some of their public moral practices are not optimistic about Greece. On the other hand, he there are some deficiencies in capacity. (17: 33)
and Information Network: the best start out of the Greek crisis, Germany was in a hurry, when Goldman Sachs to help the Greek currency swap done, a lot is sold to Germany, the German holding a lot of things, if this problem occurs, the first death was in Germany, Germany was very worried. (17: 33)
Zhang: Yes, you start to say the crisis has exposed the euro area of Greece have such a mechanism problem, as long as come after, no matter how bad my performance, I will not go out, I can count on me to rescue the core countries. This time is also a factor, Germany has been hesitant on whether to aid Greece, I think part of the German have this idea that he hoped the Greek initiative barely out of the euro because, with this precedent in the euro area has a dynamic adjustment mechanism. when you come in first if not in financial discipline, the same will be adjusted out. but also of the Finance and economists hope that the euro zone have such a mechanism to prevent future moral hazard. (17: 33)
and Information Network: from the euro zone to maintain the sound development of the euro, which is a good thing. Although the European Central Bank to control money , but is independent of financial power, you just messing around, come up with a deficit, so that everyone would buy you one last, this is a problem. (17: 33)
way real: I think this time the crisis with Greece the Great Depression, there is a place very much like the Greek sense is in fact kidnapped, or the formation of a free-rider effect. We see in the Great Depression, when some financial institutions were when something goes wrong, when the policy control, policy control is the United States flatter settlement doctrine, who made the mistake Who commitment, and not others shared responsibility. just beginning to play some effect, but in fact Shajixiahou all monkeys are not. (17: 34)
and News Network: I think the whole of China with the Chinese real estate, like kidnapping. Now things have come to this step, the EU out of the 750 billion bailout plan, this rescue plan in the end can not be implemented, and now everyone is suspect, including the IMF said The 250 billion euros is to talk about numbers, there are 440 billion in the end could not raise the issue. There you have just mentioned, because you have to combine the Greek deficit and improve their financial capability, but now trouble the Greek national uproar, such a big strike, and even riots, how can this continue? you think this can help please? (17: 34)
way real: You just mentioned can IMF2500 billion in cash, this is indeed a problem. Although he did not say he is a temporary relief, he is a long process, but we know that 250 billion to enhance the role of markets more confidence. (17: 35)
real way: You just mentioned another to 440 billion, which is raised within the European area, which makes us think of the U.S. 786 billion in 2008 just came out, in September 2009, when all of a sudden this thing just out of the stock market joy, happy, the Government finally bailed out . but soon in the Congress, the House rejected the bill came, when the stock market immediately dropped. we see a sudden increase of all U.S. credit risk, leading to escalation of the subprime crisis. This policy can not deliver relief from a good program into a real positive or play on a question mark. But in any case, we made a key first step in relief. (17: 35)
Zhang: In addition to 750 billion U.S. dollars can not be implemented, I think this stimulus there the following questions. The first problem, a problem with the Greek state, is 750 billion rescue plan, five European countries Greece is the smallest one among the countries GDP. assumes that a problem with Italy and Spain, 750 billion enough? second problems, which keep up to spend 750 billion euros linked to IMF adjustment loans, which means that to get the money, the crisis countries must make the same as Greece's commitment to the pain, commitment to substantially reduce the fiscal deficit in the next few years, Greece and the major reduction in pension wage freeze, which can easily lead to instability, its economy in decline, this increase in the short term economic downturn. (17: 35)
Zhang: The third point is more important, the Greek assistance, despite lower interest rates than market rates , but there are 5%. We all know that, according to IMF forecasts growth in the next few years the Greek economy is certainly less than 5%, which means that future debt will keep rising. not to mention the principal relief, periodic interest payments very difficult. If several European countries have not adopted structural adjustment in the short term, by finding a new economic growth point to enhance the growth of GDP, even if only to obtain loans from the crisis now pushed to the future, the future debt snowball He was unable to debt service, debt crisis will be more and more. (17: 36)
and News Network: So many people are not very good, the money can not be achieved in the end, you said the most fundamental to find new economic growth, I would like now to find a new economic growth point, as a small business easier, but as a nation euro zone, to find a new economic growth point too hard. (17: 36)
process Real: I would like to add that Dr. Zhang Ming mentioned earlier, we are now regarded as a short-term relief substantially relieve your pain symptoms formula. we really care about the long-term prescription assistance to find the Greek, it is important to the Greek fiscal consolidation program. premise Greece to a program, with one point, he put his business tax from 19% to 21% of the general efficiency of the financial consolidation plan from the tax increase. the international aspects of academic research have a very important conclusion, fiscal consolidation or spending cuts or increase revenue, increase revenue often bring in the long term effect is negative, it is best to cut spending. Greece to do more in this piece of rough. In addition a proportion of revenue is too large, this time we suspect that he finances consolidation plan, the economy in the long run what is a good thing or a bad thing? I think this is marked by a very large question mark. (17: 36)
and Information Network: Greece trouble now so powerful that many would prefer to Professor national bankruptcy, is not willing to lower my welfare. What happens if Greece really bankrupt? (17: 36)
Zhang: Greece really very bad case of insolvency, the first, he may have all the sovereign debt default , which means his future in the international financial markets to develop new bonds and then basically very difficult. Second, in addition to sovereign debt, the residents, businesses and financial institutions have borrowed a lot of debt, this may also breach basically means that the country's future for a long period of time can only rely on themselves, he has not played financing through international financial markets function, so is very bad. (17: 37)
Zhang: There are After your default will affect other countries, including some international financial institutions for his help, this I am referring to is bankrupt the country. In another case, Wei Lai fundamental solution to the crisis in Greece, you may need the help of a fairly standard external debt restructuring , which is able to Greece to get out from the debt crisis. now thinking of aid, do not let the creditor impaired, but this will only make the debt snowball, similar to the debt crisis in Latin American countries, through the Brady bonds of these dragged out of the country from debt, I think change will happen next idea. (17: 37)
and Information Network: the whole in order to keep all bonds is also very difficult. Now some say the debt crisis of the Greek a little conspiracy theory, Greek debt crisis evolved into this level, there is definitely behind the speculators fueled. (17: 38)
way real: I think the conspiracy theory has some truth, but can not explain all of reality. We know that speculation is in the affirmative exist. We know there is a leverage effect of Greece, Greece in Europe accounted for less than 3% of GDP, at this time such a big event, causing panic in the market so much, must have some speculative profit space, and they will definitely participate in this market. I think speculation is largely magnified the impact of the crisis, magnified by our short-term pain. But from another perspective, we have 750 billion could accelerate the arrival of large-scale rescue package. dialectical speculation we have to look at, it certainly exists. (17: 38)
Zhang: I think the speculation will not change the trend, it will only amplify trends, it only contributed to the severity or add fuel to the fire role. the problem is still here, do not stare seamless fly eggs, is that you own a problem, the flaw was caught investors, enlarge it, so basically speculation is not the most fundamental factor. (17:38)
and Information Network: No question is too hard, but their own, the first euro-zone building system, the existence of institutional and structural birth defects, no question is too hard to let him. (17: 39)
implementation process: We know the problem is the long-term problems the euro area, we do not know how long the problem will have little short-term impact, this time the Greek crisis, just a connection point to. (17: 39)
Zhang: And speculators operation is not the time to see who has problems, but to see who the problem even more. before the problem in the United States, we think that the problem is more the United States, the U.S. stock market may also be short on the dollar. But the European crisis in the short term cover up the problem of the United States, So now between the euro and the dollar is not good and bad, but rather the problem worse and worse, speculators will take on the future trend of further deterioration of the currency and financial markets to start. (17: 39)
and Information Network: From the U.S. perspective, the situation of the euro is not the dollar is now more readily see? (17: 40)
Zhang: This is not to say, because there are both positive and negative forces. from the positive in terms of ability to do the euro challenge the dollar is the only currency of the international monetary policy, so the outbreak of the crisis in Europe weakened the strength of the euro, U.S. dollar will certainly help strengthen the international hegemony. On the other hand, a weaker euro will affect the U.S. exports to the U.S. domestic private consumption remains weak now, the Government can not always be sustained stimulus, so the United States in exports this year would particularly like to stimulate economic growth through. (17: 40)
way real: This is me with Zhang Dr little bit different point of view, Dr Cheung between the dollar and euro long tangle I very much agree, I would like to add that short-term impact. Last night I've just watched a new study, this report is very precise analysis, Now 10% depreciation of the euro, and 1% of the recession in Europe, the U.S. GDP would have much impact? (17: 41)
way real: This is a short-term measure, the results of this calculation is beyond my expectations, just sheets Doctor said, U.S. exports are dependent on their recent U.S. economy, and the United States more dependent on exports to Europe itself, but the estimation results from our expectations. When the whole euro-zone economy shrunk down to 1%, 10% depreciation of the euro down against the United States Only 0.05% of economic damage, which is very small. From this point of view of trade, if we analyze the structure of the entire U.S. economy and economic structure of Europe will come to this result, the depreciation of the euro the U.S. economy can bear. (17 : 41)
and Information Network: We are still in the discussion of the depreciation of the euro, the euro if restored to the mark, franc and other previous conditions, the dollar is more better? including the then arises the euro, the main is strategic cooperation. Germany as Europe's largest economy, the world's second largest economy, is not very willing to put their own mark disappears, and then join the euro. when Cole was persuaded Mitterrand said, you give me a euro I give you a country. As the United States, Mark, francs into euros last trophies with their confrontation, what for them is definitely not a good thing. If the last back to Mark and francs to the dollar situation is not better? (17: 41)
Zhang: I think that if the euro area collapsed, and in the international monetary point of view of today's dollar is a benefit. But the case of choosing whether the euro, economic interests and political interests above. in particular to France , Germany, the relative economic strength in the decay, but in the international arena is a big country, he wants to maintain the status of great power, and only tied up. In this place will suppress the differences between the long-term political interests. (17: 41)
and Information Network : From the American point of view, the dollar falling apart is not better? (17: 42)
Zhang: It is natural, but less likely to fall apart. (17: 42)
and Information Network: a challenge before the yen against the dollar, the Asian financial crisis. was very strong in Europe, the Kosovo war out soon, the euro is in turmoil. With the euro getting stronger, a variety of things out. (5:43 p.m. )
way real: We have talked about the euro impact from the perspective of U.S. trade is very small. But from the perspective of financial markets, especially from the perspective of the credit crunch, the euro changes, including disappearance of the euro on the U.S. economy How much impact? from the perspective of financial markets, the impact is far greater than the impact from a trade perspective, why is that a significant depreciation of the euro now, even though the trade did not produce as much damage. (17: 43)
process Real: I would like to add that Dr. Zhang Ming and the host have just talked about, why the euro will not fall apart, from an economic point of view that we know that the euro area, including the European Union from the point of view, impact of export on the economy very large, two-thirds of euro area exports and trade is internal, so if the euro single currency, the transaction cost savings, improve the overall economic interests of the whole of the EU and the euro area is great. And Germany is also very happy to see that we look further, in the euro zone exports, Germany is the largest exports, Germany is also very happy to see the existence of the euro. (17: 43)
and Information Network: This time 750 000 000 000 The introduction, as if the U.S. Obama is a call to Merkel, said that Europe needs some big action. This is the time of 9 am local time, then 10, introduced this thing. from the United States is concerned, although the war mess will eventually burn itself, it is also very possible. (17: 43)
Zhang: On the other hand, the United States and some European countries also returned to the bilateral U.S. dollar exchange, which is on the euro-zone countries a support. (17: 43)
and News Network: Because the conspiracy theory is impossible to confirm that we are here Xia Xiang, in the end how to say no. The reason why so much trouble, we are so worried , do you think the Greek radio, Spain, will soon feel that it is not a problem, as Greece, Spain, the likelihood? (17: 44)
way real: I think the possibility is very small, we know the size of the debt itself is a issues, debt burden rate is another question, how much I can bear the economic. you just say how much debt the U.S. debt was up to, he can not do it? but the U.S. debt risk is very, very small. Spain is the situation, although the situation is more debt large, but the capacity is far more than Greece. But Spain's economic recovery in the euro zone front row of the comparison, the euro zone economic recovery is beyond our imagination. I saw last night, said the euro zone is not much data, but a look at data in the euro areas the situation is very good, so the capacity of the euro area economy as a whole, or some. (17: 44)
and News Network: It seems that Germany is now the state are to the right direction. (17: 44)
Cheng fact: Yes, Germany is also good. (17: 44)
and News Network: I read an analysis, may eventually end the crisis in Europe's rapid economic recovery in Germany, the German economy is good, with an estimated many issues gone. (17: 45)
Zhang: Yes, the Spanish did in the budget deficit and government debt indicators stronger than Greece. Spain, high price-earnings ratio, price-earnings ratio of 20%. relative to the Spanish speaking, I think the more dangerous of Portugal, Portugal deficit and the relatively high proportion of government debt, his share of external debt to GDP more than 90%. Of course, he has the advantage, he borrowed a lot of debt, the debt is denominated in euro, but he himself is the euro. But Portugal and Spain compared smaller economies, the economic structure to be, once the turmoil in the future, his Government's fiscal policy space is small, so more dangerous compared to Spain and Portugal. (17: 45)
implementation process: the European I would like to add that the area economy, we know that a very important feature of the euro area economy is mixed. from the current state of view, the euro area has such an interesting image, the strongest like Germany and Spain are good, the most poor small countries like the Middle East is also good, especially as the Czech Republic and the like, the growth rate is very good. but the middle piece is not much, not enough solid middle class, which is the euro zone economy structural problems. (5:46 p.m. )
and Information Network: Tell us more similar to China, certainly not us so serious. In fact, the crisis in which we also are very concerned about a problem, it concerns not just in Europe, the United States is also concern that the credit rating agencies problem. including China, many scholars have also expressed doubts about the three major credit rating agencies, previously said he felt a little problem that he said he desperately, the situation is getting worse, you further reduce the rating to form a vicious circle. including before the Asian financial crisis, have seen a very active voice in it, where there is a problem they quickly jumped out, how do you view them? (17: 46)
Zhang: I think this time the credit rating agencies in Europe sovereign debt crisis without any mistakes. Of course, what insider trading is possible we do not know, but so far the outside, they do use their known information independent, objective, impartial and make a rating. in the U.S. subprime We accused him of the crisis, there is no time lowered ratings of financial products, leading to crisis. I think the credit rating agency capital market is important, and now the market is very complex and there are many investors rely heavily on his credit rating. (17: 47)
Zhang: credit rating equivalent to the pricing of accounting has been something that we have things priced in the U.S. financial crisis played an important role in the market for financial products issued by the debt I pay, loss of amplification. But you Pricing can find something better than the way has it? So, I think this kind of thing in itself is no problem, but it is some other risk prevention awareness of the institutions themselves down. I would think that this time the crisis broke out, he can promptly lowered credit rating, which is responsible on the market. (17: 47)
real way: I feel that good or bad? to do is not excessive, this is a subjective judgments, we say that an objective point These several major rating agencies to produce a significant effect is pro-cyclical effect, good times good times and bad is bad. Objectively speaking, this effect is certainly there, we are not accusing him, but that we do not have a monitor supervisory ratings agencies. I think in the international financial regulation, especially in the crisis, we are now caught in such a state of embarrassment, the whole international financial regulation at the regional level by a number of shackles, there is no breakthrough, a breakthrough in an international context that is more difficult, which is why pro-cyclical effect of credit rating agencies have not been effectively controlled, I think this effect can be constrained by some mechanism for it, but this mechanism we did not find a breakthrough. (17: 53)
and information network: I so powerful that you, as rating agencies, and why later told me how. was out of this debt, you give me evaluate how, you find out all the aspects. wait for it before the incident, evaluate and adjust your level, As you so well-known and authoritative rating agencies, you do not. For example, the Greek sovereign debt, in the end what level? Why did you dig out the hidden risks of all, you should tell people the real thing, why wait until the Finally broke out of tune again. (17: 53)
Zhang: I think the forward-looking independent credit ratings. section rating agencies have significantly before the sovereign bonds, will issue a warning to the market, of course, this approach does not good enough. I want to say, I am afraid that rating agencies have access to information that is not very complete, very often before the crisis, he may not be on the authority of your country is very, very good material, in this case he did not dare to do forward-looking ratings. For example, there is no problem in this country, he made a prospective rating, but the market to achieve this country into crisis, blame is also a lot of time, so he only saw plenty of evidence to conclusions, often this When comparing late. (17: 54)
and News Network: So for rating agencies, the rights of too much responsibility too. (17: 54)
way real: I have a different view I think the rating agencies have some volatility amplification effect, not ethics, but technical problems. I have a point of view, today the economic and financial operation of the state has told us to go to school finance to the small probability events have little impact, the it for some of the complex model to arrive at a rating, and ratings are based on these calculations. but we now have a very interesting phenomenon, in the current economic environment, the was much larger before the predicted. (17: 54)
real way: think of a few days ago, and why the Dow dropped a thousand points, which is very small probability, from the beginning of millions of short options, to the final true The dropped a thousand points, a lot of things together, each is a small probability, but it really happened. understanding of the changing trend of economic realities, needs some updating, I think it is just a technical problem. (17: 55)
Zhang: And a small probability event occurred, are generally systemic risk, impact great. This is also reflect domestic and foreign economists, how to make these things more fully integrated into this model to go, but probably not a short process that can take more time to efforts to achieve consensus. ( 17: 55)
and Information Network: From now on the circumstances, these big rights in the international rating agencies too much, too much influence, and what is not constrained by this I feel is a terrible thing. that fact, I want to buy a bond, you should tell me how to bond in the end, the last time someone defaults, you told me no, because they related to transactions which also. (17: 56)
Zhang Ming: In the past we have often accused the rating agencies said he had a conflict of interest, because he financial products to private financial institutions ratings, he is to the company money, not to the information user fees, so people say that you took someone else money you soft in the mouth. But the sovereign credit rating is not charged to the sovereign state, so the sovereign credit rating is no conflict of interest. (17: 56)
and Information Network: In any case, the right to do too much, can operate in some countries life and death, and no supervision. For us there are such problems in China, we Chinese are also said to foster a number of previous rating agencies, are basically the final say by others, that of China and the world is very important for many countries , is not restricted to individual countries to coordinate and control measures, it is not necessary? (17: 56)
Zhang: I think a development is to strengthen the supervision of rating agencies, as he had done .. .
and Information Network: relatively hot topic of recent sovereign debt crisis of the EU, we had the Greek does not seem very worried about the debt crisis is now intensifying the EU announced 10 March .5 an unprecedented 750 billion euros (much higher than the current 787 billion U.S. dollars in U.S. aid program) rescue plan, the EU plans to disclose, 750 billion euros rescue mechanism from , multi-national central bank will restart currency swap with the United States and the European Central Bank will buy the government and agency debt. For a time the stock market have soared in Europe and America. But just over a day, a variety of voices on the heels of doubt, and soon the stock market in Europe and America began to fall, making the EU a huge rescue plan casts a shadow. (17: 14)
and News Network: So, how could evolution of the debt crisis of Greece to the point? how to see 750 billion euros of rescue plan ? to the successful implementation of it? euro how the evolution of the debt crisis? the euro will fall apart? how to treat several major credit rating agencies play a role in the crisis? These problems may be particularly interested to know everyone. To this end, we issue Finance Sharon invited two guests, an international financial center of China Academy of Social Sciences General Dr. Zhang Ming. (17: 14)
Zhang: and telecommunications networks netizens Good afternoon! (17:15)
and News Network: there is a macroeconomic analyst at the Institute of Finance ICBC Dr. Cheng Shi guest and hearing. Dr. Cheng is a graduate of Fudan University, on the international financial problem is very insightful. (17: 15)
Cheng real: and telecommunications networks netizens, good afternoon! (17: 15)
and Information Network: the debt crisis began there early, and we think that is not very serious, Greece so small a country, What kind of impact can produce, what can cause the monstrous waves. but now looks like a lot of people are wrong, and now everyone is worried that the euro has been serious enough to be able to keep the problem. why the Greek debt crisis evolved into such a serious stage? If we had EU countries, notably Germany shot as soon as possible, is not it will not produce such a result? (17: 18)
real way: I feel the Greek sovereign debt crisis of this matter, if we already have clues dating back to 2005, Greece medium and long term problems are a regular bomb, it has not aroused much public attention. But in 2009, several major credit rating agencies have lowered the registration, we suddenly realized that this problem than we had imagined and more serious, which is Why the Greek sovereign debt crisis at the beginning of hiding for a long time, then suddenly broke out. a bit like the sub-prime crisis, the subprime crisis our first concern is March 2007, including the IMF, including the world's major international agencies define its starting in 2007, 7 to 8 months, that is the middle of incubation period. (17: 21)
Zhang: Greece itself, the crisis seems relatively small, because the Greek of the total euro area GDP2%, even if the problem is also the Greek the euro area will not get involved. Greece is not a country at war, and the Greek budget deficit and government debt with similar problems in several countries, such as we now more familiar with the five European countries, the scale of these countries, especially Spain and Italy, Greece, much larger than the size. These five countries together accounted for about euro-zone GDP is about one-third the weight. we fear the crisis in Greece, repeated in five European countries, such a fear is caused by financial market turmoil is important reason. (17: 26)
Zhang: Another reason, the Greek itself has some problems, for example, we all know, when to join the euro, Greece, and Goldman Sachs through a series of currency swap agreements cover their government debt. we feel that the credibility of the Greek government itself is missing. On the other hand is also very interesting, we all know that official statistics in Greece Greek billionaire is very small, probably no more than ten people. (17: 29)
Zhang: But the rich as a group in Greece, the euro area is quite famous, for example, one of my friends in investment banking, he said that the City of London is full of Greek billionaire tax system proved a problem with the Greek government. Greece has large underground economy, on the one hand is the lack of good faith, on the other tax limited capacity, we think the future of Greece through its difficult fiscal consolidation to reduce the deficit. I think these two reasons, the common and contributed to the further spread of the outbreak of the crisis. ( 17: 30)
and information networks: the EU until now to hand, if the long shot, things are not evolved to such an extent Buzhi Yu. Germany is not shot, the German hesitated, because by this time is not thinking about Greece kicked out of the euro area the opportunity to? (17: 30)
Zhang: Germany was not shot, just highlight the plight of the euro area. We all know that the establishment of a monetary union is good long-term interests of a country, but in many cases, common interests and national interests to fight, this time in Germany is very clear. the German public that we usually live frugally, work hard, why do we not very hard to save the Greeks? meaning people become politicians refuse to aid Greece reasons. (17: 31)
Zhang: In addition, I personally feel that this time the five countries, including Greece and Europe, they are in an awkward position in the euro area. There are two traditional means of national economic recession, currency devaluation expansionary fiscal and monetary policy. But for the countries of Greece, owned by the European Central Bank monetary policy, exchange rate there is no way, because the euro is not your final say, the last fiscal policy, fiscal policy can indeed have to do, but as cornerstone of the euro area the government debt has some limitations. In fact, as countries outside the euro zone, in the economic turmoil, particularly in the economic cycle and in your heart when the national inconsistent, not too many tools of macroeconomic adjustment, which highlights the difficulties. Germany is now the most important thing is to control inflation, and will not be very loose monetary policy, he is the euro, as well as aid to Greece itself, these issues will appear. (17: 32)
implementation process: I would like to add that Dr Cheung said very clearly earlier, the German Greece before the problem is not reflected very quickly in this one very important reason, he might feel that moral considerations. There are a very important point, the German aid Greece in this respect from the start that he might be in such a situation, in itself no guarantee of his own. just out of recession in Europe, the U.S. first quarter growth of 3.2% growth in the fourth quarter of last year, five percent in a few, the euro zone until the fourth quarter of last year is a contraction of negative 4.1, figures released yesterday, an increase of only 0.5%, meaning that the entire economic cycle, the euro area, including the whole of Europe is lagging behind the United States, one to two quarters. (17: 33)
implementation process: in this case, Germany did not fully estimate the beginning of the importance to Greece, or he may have much of an impact on their own. and he rates the debt burden, we know that at the outbreak of the Greek problem is more government debt ratio to 110%, then Germany debt ratio is 70% more than you put in perspective the entire euro zone, Germany ranked relatively higher. Germany on this issue, partly because some of their public moral practices are not optimistic about Greece. On the other hand, he there are some deficiencies in capacity. (17: 33)
and Information Network: the best start out of the Greek crisis, Germany was in a hurry, when Goldman Sachs to help the Greek currency swap done, a lot is sold to Germany, the German holding a lot of things, if this problem occurs, the first death was in Germany, Germany was very worried. (17: 33)
Zhang: Yes, you start to say the crisis has exposed the euro area of Greece have such a mechanism problem, as long as come after, no matter how bad my performance, I will not go out, I can count on me to rescue the core countries. This time is also a factor, Germany has been hesitant on whether to aid Greece, I think part of the German have this idea that he hoped the Greek initiative barely out of the euro because, with this precedent in the euro area has a dynamic adjustment mechanism. when you come in first if not in financial discipline, the same will be adjusted out. but also of the Finance and economists hope that the euro zone have such a mechanism to prevent future moral hazard. (17: 33)
and Information Network: from the euro zone to maintain the sound development of the euro, which is a good thing. Although the European Central Bank to control money , but is independent of financial power, you just messing around, come up with a deficit, so that everyone would buy you one last, this is a problem. (17: 33)
way real: I think this time the crisis with Greece the Great Depression, there is a place very much like the Greek sense is in fact kidnapped, or the formation of a free-rider effect. We see in the Great Depression, when some financial institutions were when something goes wrong, when the policy control, policy control is the United States flatter settlement doctrine, who made the mistake Who commitment, and not others shared responsibility. just beginning to play some effect, but in fact Shajixiahou all monkeys are not. (17: 34)
and News Network: I think the whole of China with the Chinese real estate, like kidnapping. Now things have come to this step, the EU out of the 750 billion bailout plan, this rescue plan in the end can not be implemented, and now everyone is suspect, including the IMF said The 250 billion euros is to talk about numbers, there are 440 billion in the end could not raise the issue. There you have just mentioned, because you have to combine the Greek deficit and improve their financial capability, but now trouble the Greek national uproar, such a big strike, and even riots, how can this continue? you think this can help please? (17: 34)
way real: You just mentioned can IMF2500 billion in cash, this is indeed a problem. Although he did not say he is a temporary relief, he is a long process, but we know that 250 billion to enhance the role of markets more confidence. (17: 35)
real way: You just mentioned another to 440 billion, which is raised within the European area, which makes us think of the U.S. 786 billion in 2008 just came out, in September 2009, when all of a sudden this thing just out of the stock market joy, happy, the Government finally bailed out . but soon in the Congress, the House rejected the bill came, when the stock market immediately dropped. we see a sudden increase of all U.S. credit risk, leading to escalation of the subprime crisis. This policy can not deliver relief from a good program into a real positive or play on a question mark. But in any case, we made a key first step in relief. (17: 35)
Zhang: In addition to 750 billion U.S. dollars can not be implemented, I think this stimulus there the following questions. The first problem, a problem with the Greek state, is 750 billion rescue plan, five European countries Greece is the smallest one among the countries GDP. assumes that a problem with Italy and Spain, 750 billion enough? second problems, which keep up to spend 750 billion euros linked to IMF adjustment loans, which means that to get the money, the crisis countries must make the same as Greece's commitment to the pain, commitment to substantially reduce the fiscal deficit in the next few years, Greece and the major reduction in pension wage freeze, which can easily lead to instability, its economy in decline, this increase in the short term economic downturn. (17: 35)
Zhang: The third point is more important, the Greek assistance, despite lower interest rates than market rates , but there are 5%. We all know that, according to IMF forecasts growth in the next few years the Greek economy is certainly less than 5%, which means that future debt will keep rising. not to mention the principal relief, periodic interest payments very difficult. If several European countries have not adopted structural adjustment in the short term, by finding a new economic growth point to enhance the growth of GDP, even if only to obtain loans from the crisis now pushed to the future, the future debt snowball He was unable to debt service, debt crisis will be more and more. (17: 36)
and News Network: So many people are not very good, the money can not be achieved in the end, you said the most fundamental to find new economic growth, I would like now to find a new economic growth point, as a small business easier, but as a nation euro zone, to find a new economic growth point too hard. (17: 36)
process Real: I would like to add that Dr. Zhang Ming mentioned earlier, we are now regarded as a short-term relief substantially relieve your pain symptoms formula. we really care about the long-term prescription assistance to find the Greek, it is important to the Greek fiscal consolidation program. premise Greece to a program, with one point, he put his business tax from 19% to 21% of the general efficiency of the financial consolidation plan from the tax increase. the international aspects of academic research have a very important conclusion, fiscal consolidation or spending cuts or increase revenue, increase revenue often bring in the long term effect is negative, it is best to cut spending. Greece to do more in this piece of rough. In addition a proportion of revenue is too large, this time we suspect that he finances consolidation plan, the economy in the long run what is a good thing or a bad thing? I think this is marked by a very large question mark. (17: 36)
and Information Network: Greece trouble now so powerful that many would prefer to Professor national bankruptcy, is not willing to lower my welfare. What happens if Greece really bankrupt? (17: 36)
Zhang: Greece really very bad case of insolvency, the first, he may have all the sovereign debt default , which means his future in the international financial markets to develop new bonds and then basically very difficult. Second, in addition to sovereign debt, the residents, businesses and financial institutions have borrowed a lot of debt, this may also breach basically means that the country's future for a long period of time can only rely on themselves, he has not played financing through international financial markets function, so is very bad. (17: 37)
Zhang: There are After your default will affect other countries, including some international financial institutions for his help, this I am referring to is bankrupt the country. In another case, Wei Lai fundamental solution to the crisis in Greece, you may need the help of a fairly standard external debt restructuring , which is able to Greece to get out from the debt crisis. now thinking of aid, do not let the creditor impaired, but this will only make the debt snowball, similar to the debt crisis in Latin American countries, through the Brady bonds of these dragged out of the country from debt, I think change will happen next idea. (17: 37)
and Information Network: the whole in order to keep all bonds is also very difficult. Now some say the debt crisis of the Greek a little conspiracy theory, Greek debt crisis evolved into this level, there is definitely behind the speculators fueled. (17: 38)
way real: I think the conspiracy theory has some truth, but can not explain all of reality. We know that speculation is in the affirmative exist. We know there is a leverage effect of Greece, Greece in Europe accounted for less than 3% of GDP, at this time such a big event, causing panic in the market so much, must have some speculative profit space, and they will definitely participate in this market. I think speculation is largely magnified the impact of the crisis, magnified by our short-term pain. But from another perspective, we have 750 billion could accelerate the arrival of large-scale rescue package. dialectical speculation we have to look at, it certainly exists. (17: 38)
Zhang: I think the speculation will not change the trend, it will only amplify trends, it only contributed to the severity or add fuel to the fire role. the problem is still here, do not stare seamless fly eggs, is that you own a problem, the flaw was caught investors, enlarge it, so basically speculation is not the most fundamental factor. (17:38)
and Information Network: No question is too hard, but their own, the first euro-zone building system, the existence of institutional and structural birth defects, no question is too hard to let him. (17: 39)
implementation process: We know the problem is the long-term problems the euro area, we do not know how long the problem will have little short-term impact, this time the Greek crisis, just a connection point to. (17: 39)
Zhang: And speculators operation is not the time to see who has problems, but to see who the problem even more. before the problem in the United States, we think that the problem is more the United States, the U.S. stock market may also be short on the dollar. But the European crisis in the short term cover up the problem of the United States, So now between the euro and the dollar is not good and bad, but rather the problem worse and worse, speculators will take on the future trend of further deterioration of the currency and financial markets to start. (17: 39)
and Information Network: From the U.S. perspective, the situation of the euro is not the dollar is now more readily see? (17: 40)
Zhang: This is not to say, because there are both positive and negative forces. from the positive in terms of ability to do the euro challenge the dollar is the only currency of the international monetary policy, so the outbreak of the crisis in Europe weakened the strength of the euro, U.S. dollar will certainly help strengthen the international hegemony. On the other hand, a weaker euro will affect the U.S. exports to the U.S. domestic private consumption remains weak now, the Government can not always be sustained stimulus, so the United States in exports this year would particularly like to stimulate economic growth through. (17: 40)
way real: This is me with Zhang Dr little bit different point of view, Dr Cheung between the dollar and euro long tangle I very much agree, I would like to add that short-term impact. Last night I've just watched a new study, this report is very precise analysis, Now 10% depreciation of the euro, and 1% of the recession in Europe, the U.S. GDP would have much impact? (17: 41)
way real: This is a short-term measure, the results of this calculation is beyond my expectations, just sheets Doctor said, U.S. exports are dependent on their recent U.S. economy, and the United States more dependent on exports to Europe itself, but the estimation results from our expectations. When the whole euro-zone economy shrunk down to 1%, 10% depreciation of the euro down against the United States Only 0.05% of economic damage, which is very small. From this point of view of trade, if we analyze the structure of the entire U.S. economy and economic structure of Europe will come to this result, the depreciation of the euro the U.S. economy can bear. (17 : 41)
and Information Network: We are still in the discussion of the depreciation of the euro, the euro if restored to the mark, franc and other previous conditions, the dollar is more better? including the then arises the euro, the main is strategic cooperation. Germany as Europe's largest economy, the world's second largest economy, is not very willing to put their own mark disappears, and then join the euro. when Cole was persuaded Mitterrand said, you give me a euro I give you a country. As the United States, Mark, francs into euros last trophies with their confrontation, what for them is definitely not a good thing. If the last back to Mark and francs to the dollar situation is not better? (17: 41)
Zhang: I think that if the euro area collapsed, and in the international monetary point of view of today's dollar is a benefit. But the case of choosing whether the euro, economic interests and political interests above. in particular to France , Germany, the relative economic strength in the decay, but in the international arena is a big country, he wants to maintain the status of great power, and only tied up. In this place will suppress the differences between the long-term political interests. (17: 41)
and Information Network : From the American point of view, the dollar falling apart is not better? (17: 42)
Zhang: It is natural, but less likely to fall apart. (17: 42)
and Information Network: a challenge before the yen against the dollar, the Asian financial crisis. was very strong in Europe, the Kosovo war out soon, the euro is in turmoil. With the euro getting stronger, a variety of things out. (5:43 p.m. )
way real: We have talked about the euro impact from the perspective of U.S. trade is very small. But from the perspective of financial markets, especially from the perspective of the credit crunch, the euro changes, including disappearance of the euro on the U.S. economy How much impact? from the perspective of financial markets, the impact is far greater than the impact from a trade perspective, why is that a significant depreciation of the euro now, even though the trade did not produce as much damage. (17: 43)
process Real: I would like to add that Dr. Zhang Ming and the host have just talked about, why the euro will not fall apart, from an economic point of view that we know that the euro area, including the European Union from the point of view, impact of export on the economy very large, two-thirds of euro area exports and trade is internal, so if the euro single currency, the transaction cost savings, improve the overall economic interests of the whole of the EU and the euro area is great. And Germany is also very happy to see that we look further, in the euro zone exports, Germany is the largest exports, Germany is also very happy to see the existence of the euro. (17: 43)
and Information Network: This time 750 000 000 000 The introduction, as if the U.S. Obama is a call to Merkel, said that Europe needs some big action. This is the time of 9 am local time, then 10, introduced this thing. from the United States is concerned, although the war mess will eventually burn itself, it is also very possible. (17: 43)
Zhang: On the other hand, the United States and some European countries also returned to the bilateral U.S. dollar exchange, which is on the euro-zone countries a support. (17: 43)
and News Network: Because the conspiracy theory is impossible to confirm that we are here Xia Xiang, in the end how to say no. The reason why so much trouble, we are so worried , do you think the Greek radio, Spain, will soon feel that it is not a problem, as Greece, Spain, the likelihood? (17: 44)
way real: I think the possibility is very small, we know the size of the debt itself is a issues, debt burden rate is another question, how much I can bear the economic. you just say how much debt the U.S. debt was up to, he can not do it? but the U.S. debt risk is very, very small. Spain is the situation, although the situation is more debt large, but the capacity is far more than Greece. But Spain's economic recovery in the euro zone front row of the comparison, the euro zone economic recovery is beyond our imagination. I saw last night, said the euro zone is not much data, but a look at data in the euro areas the situation is very good, so the capacity of the euro area economy as a whole, or some. (17: 44)
and News Network: It seems that Germany is now the state are to the right direction. (17: 44)
Cheng fact: Yes, Germany is also good. (17: 44)
and News Network: I read an analysis, may eventually end the crisis in Europe's rapid economic recovery in Germany, the German economy is good, with an estimated many issues gone. (17: 45)
Zhang: Yes, the Spanish did in the budget deficit and government debt indicators stronger than Greece. Spain, high price-earnings ratio, price-earnings ratio of 20%. relative to the Spanish speaking, I think the more dangerous of Portugal, Portugal deficit and the relatively high proportion of government debt, his share of external debt to GDP more than 90%. Of course, he has the advantage, he borrowed a lot of debt, the debt is denominated in euro, but he himself is the euro. But Portugal and Spain compared smaller economies, the economic structure to be, once the turmoil in the future, his Government's fiscal policy space is small, so more dangerous compared to Spain and Portugal. (17: 45)
implementation process: the European I would like to add that the area economy, we know that a very important feature of the euro area economy is mixed. from the current state of view, the euro area has such an interesting image, the strongest like Germany and Spain are good, the most poor small countries like the Middle East is also good, especially as the Czech Republic and the like, the growth rate is very good. but the middle piece is not much, not enough solid middle class, which is the euro zone economy structural problems. (5:46 p.m. )
and Information Network: Tell us more similar to China, certainly not us so serious. In fact, the crisis in which we also are very concerned about a problem, it concerns not just in Europe, the United States is also concern that the credit rating agencies problem. including China, many scholars have also expressed doubts about the three major credit rating agencies, previously said he felt a little problem that he said he desperately, the situation is getting worse, you further reduce the rating to form a vicious circle. including before the Asian financial crisis, have seen a very active voice in it, where there is a problem they quickly jumped out, how do you view them? (17: 46)
Zhang: I think this time the credit rating agencies in Europe sovereign debt crisis without any mistakes. Of course, what insider trading is possible we do not know, but so far the outside, they do use their known information independent, objective, impartial and make a rating. in the U.S. subprime We accused him of the crisis, there is no time lowered ratings of financial products, leading to crisis. I think the credit rating agency capital market is important, and now the market is very complex and there are many investors rely heavily on his credit rating. (17: 47)
Zhang: credit rating equivalent to the pricing of accounting has been something that we have things priced in the U.S. financial crisis played an important role in the market for financial products issued by the debt I pay, loss of amplification. But you Pricing can find something better than the way has it? So, I think this kind of thing in itself is no problem, but it is some other risk prevention awareness of the institutions themselves down. I would think that this time the crisis broke out, he can promptly lowered credit rating, which is responsible on the market. (17: 47)
real way: I feel that good or bad? to do is not excessive, this is a subjective judgments, we say that an objective point These several major rating agencies to produce a significant effect is pro-cyclical effect, good times good times and bad is bad. Objectively speaking, this effect is certainly there, we are not accusing him, but that we do not have a monitor supervisory ratings agencies. I think in the international financial regulation, especially in the crisis, we are now caught in such a state of embarrassment, the whole international financial regulation at the regional level by a number of shackles, there is no breakthrough, a breakthrough in an international context that is more difficult, which is why pro-cyclical effect of credit rating agencies have not been effectively controlled, I think this effect can be constrained by some mechanism for it, but this mechanism we did not find a breakthrough. (17: 53)
and information network: I so powerful that you, as rating agencies, and why later told me how. was out of this debt, you give me evaluate how, you find out all the aspects. wait for it before the incident, evaluate and adjust your level, As you so well-known and authoritative rating agencies, you do not. For example, the Greek sovereign debt, in the end what level? Why did you dig out the hidden risks of all, you should tell people the real thing, why wait until the Finally broke out of tune again. (17: 53)
Zhang: I think the forward-looking independent credit ratings. section rating agencies have significantly before the sovereign bonds, will issue a warning to the market, of course, this approach does not good enough. I want to say, I am afraid that rating agencies have access to information that is not very complete, very often before the crisis, he may not be on the authority of your country is very, very good material, in this case he did not dare to do forward-looking ratings. For example, there is no problem in this country, he made a prospective rating, but the market to achieve this country into crisis, blame is also a lot of time, so he only saw plenty of evidence to conclusions, often this When comparing late. (17: 54)
and News Network: So for rating agencies, the rights of too much responsibility too. (17: 54)
way real: I have a different view I think the rating agencies have some volatility amplification effect, not ethics, but technical problems. I have a point of view, today the economic and financial operation of the state has told us to go to school finance to the small probability events have little impact, the it for some of the complex model to arrive at a rating, and ratings are based on these calculations. but we now have a very interesting phenomenon, in the current economic environment, the was much larger before the predicted. (17: 54)
real way: think of a few days ago, and why the Dow dropped a thousand points, which is very small probability, from the beginning of millions of short options, to the final true The dropped a thousand points, a lot of things together, each is a small probability, but it really happened. understanding of the changing trend of economic realities, needs some updating, I think it is just a technical problem. (17: 55)
Zhang: And a small probability event occurred, are generally systemic risk, impact great. This is also reflect domestic and foreign economists, how to make these things more fully integrated into this model to go, but probably not a short process that can take more time to efforts to achieve consensus. ( 17: 55)
and Information Network: From now on the circumstances, these big rights in the international rating agencies too much, too much influence, and what is not constrained by this I feel is a terrible thing. that fact, I want to buy a bond, you should tell me how to bond in the end, the last time someone defaults, you told me no, because they related to transactions which also. (17: 56)
Zhang Ming: In the past we have often accused the rating agencies said he had a conflict of interest, because he financial products to private financial institutions ratings, he is to the company money, not to the information user fees, so people say that you took someone else money you soft in the mouth. But the sovereign credit rating is not charged to the sovereign state, so the sovereign credit rating is no conflict of interest. (17: 56)
and Information Network: In any case, the right to do too much, can operate in some countries life and death, and no supervision. For us there are such problems in China, we Chinese are also said to foster a number of previous rating agencies, are basically the final say by others, that of China and the world is very important for many countries , is not restricted to individual countries to coordinate and control measures, it is not necessary? (17: 56)
Zhang: I think a development is to strengthen the supervision of rating agencies, as he had done .. .
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Wenzhou city in the history of the cattle foot store ad spending 15% of financial subsidies (Chart)
(Logo signs Chongqing Chongqing Chongqing logo signs billboards billboard signs produced guides licensed guides license identification card Chongqing Chongqing Chongqing, making freedom of the United States identification card identification)
Year of the Ox, what are cow! Even the words are cattle: What cottage ah , 囧, ah, ah mine who, in particular, the word cottage and copy link to gnaw on it? advertising is no exception.
JIANG Wen Guang photo
) Urban Fuqian a foot hanging out front of the store such a red banner. Is to the foot shop consumption also have the financial subsidies? the financial sector, said the ad has been infringed, will take measures to stop.
yesterday afternoon, many people have stopped a passing comment, the public Zhang told reporters, this may be the promotions business, financial subsidies, but the name of the advertisement is very fresh. Fanfeng E according to the store manager explained that this is indeed the promotions they hit, but This is not a financial subsidy by the government to pay, but the ones who enjoy foot store to the consumer. Fanfeng E said that the financial crisis on the business impact of their larger stores, not doing the activities they are trying to discount to stimulate consumption. At present, sent everywhere in the popular tourist voucher, so they play more than one ad to potential customers. According to the foot bath store statistics, since the slogan posted two days, the store sales increase of 20%.
foot store played . the official said, is the national finance financial subsidies in order to achieve specific political, economic and social objectives, to businesses or individuals to provide the kind of compensation, such as the national development of agriculture, manufacturing subsidies and other livelihood projects. National expressly provides that companies in need of financial subsidies or individuals must undergo a rigorous process to declare to the Government, say financial compensation is the taxpayer money used, each individual had to spend wisely, Fuqian foot store this without the , the financial sector does not subsidize, then this should be false advertising Foot advertising, there is suspicion of cheating consumers, the relevant departments to immediately investigate and punish.
Year of the Ox, what are cow! Even the words are cattle: What cottage ah , 囧, ah, ah mine who, in particular, the word cottage and copy link to gnaw on it? advertising is no exception.
JIANG Wen Guang photo
) Urban Fuqian a foot hanging out front of the store such a red banner. Is to the foot shop consumption also have the financial subsidies? the financial sector, said the ad has been infringed, will take measures to stop.
yesterday afternoon, many people have stopped a passing comment, the public Zhang told reporters, this may be the promotions business, financial subsidies, but the name of the advertisement is very fresh. Fanfeng E according to the store manager explained that this is indeed the promotions they hit, but This is not a financial subsidy by the government to pay, but the ones who enjoy foot store to the consumer. Fanfeng E said that the financial crisis on the business impact of their larger stores, not doing the activities they are trying to discount to stimulate consumption. At present, sent everywhere in the popular tourist voucher, so they play more than one ad to potential customers. According to the foot bath store statistics, since the slogan posted two days, the store sales increase of 20%.
foot store played . the official said, is the national finance financial subsidies in order to achieve specific political, economic and social objectives, to businesses or individuals to provide the kind of compensation, such as the national development of agriculture, manufacturing subsidies and other livelihood projects. National expressly provides that companies in need of financial subsidies or individuals must undergo a rigorous process to declare to the Government, say financial compensation is the taxpayer money used, each individual had to spend wisely, Fuqian foot store this without the , the financial sector does not subsidize, then this should be false advertising Foot advertising, there is suspicion of cheating consumers, the relevant departments to immediately investigate and punish.
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